this team could very easily be 0-9 | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

this team could very easily be 0-9

CorduroyG

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and im not exaggerating at all.

just look at the 4 wins

san diego - their kicker (who theyve since cut) missed 2 fg's, including the game winner from 44 yards

tennessee - mariota was out, cassel was god awful, and still barely won. if mariota plays we 100% lose that game

atlanta - needed a 2nd half comeback from 17 down to win

jets - needed a 4th qtr comeback from 14 down to win

its a miracle theyve won 4 games. ill give them credit for the 2 comeback wins, but realistically this is a 2-7 team. i actually wish we were 2-7, then we could root for a complete tank and get a top 5 pick. we'll probably beat tampa and a couple other home games and finish 6-10 or 7-9 and be in no man's land again.
 
I mean a win is a win. Miami Hurricanes could easily be 5-4.

Everybody talks about the Tannehill lead offense last year, make no mistake a bounce here or there last year that 10-6 team is 4-12.

Getting the W is a big trait in any successful team. Not going to knock them for hypotheticals.

They are just boring to watch this year, even in a close game.
 
and im not exaggerating at all.

just look at the 4 wins

san diego - their kicker (who theyve since cut) missed 2 fg's, including the game winner from 44 yards

tennessee - mariota was out, cassel was god awful, and still barely won. if mariota plays we 100% lose that game

atlanta - needed a 2nd half comeback from 17 down to win

jets - needed a 4th qtr comeback from 14 down to win

its a miracle theyve won 4 games. ill give them credit for the 2 comeback wins, but realistically this is a 2-7 team. i actually wish we were 2-7, then we could root for a complete tank and get a top 5 pick. we'll probably beat tampa and a couple other home games and finish 6-10 or 7-9 and be in no man's land again.


Based on league data since 2004, regarding the variables that are most strongly related to winning in the NFL, the expected record for a team functioning in this manner is indeed 2-7. The expected final record is 3-13/4-12.
 
The Pats could be 5-4 but there 7-2. It really doesn’t matter what we could be, it is what you are. But if you want to do could of been. If there was no tuck rule the Pats dynasty might not of happened.
 
Chargers and Titans games for sure we shoulda lost. The other two are different, we made plays to win those games. But this is really a 2-7 team.
 
The 1-15 team from 2007 had the ball bounce in the other direction - they lost all six games that were within 3 points and 6/7 that were within one score. Soundly trounced in the rest.

This team so far has WON 4/5 within one score. They have been soundly trounced in the rest.

What's the difference between those two teams? Statistical luck? Or maybe a little extra heart/finish compared to 2007? Either way, they were both pretty bad teams that should have top draft picks.
 
You are what your record says you are...


Not really, because what you "are" is based on your stable characteristics, whereas your record could be contributed to by random variables that are unlikely to persist.

If your stable characteristics suck and your better than expected record is based largely on favorable random variables that are unlikely to persist, then your record really isn't what you "are."

And that is this team's situation currently. They "are" 2-7, and their record is 4-5.

When they were 4-2, they were "really" 2-4, and notice they've won not another game since. 4-2 was definitely not what they were.
 
Not really, because what you "are" is based on your stable characteristics, whereas your record could be contributed to by random variables that are unlikely to persist.

If your stable characteristics suck and your good record is based largely on favorable random variables that are unlikely to persist, then your record really isn't what you "are."

And that is this team's situation currently. They "are" 2-7, and their record is 4-5.

When they were 4-2, they were "really" 2-4, and notice they've won not another game since. 4-2 was definitely not what they were.

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