Thoughts on the "Experts" | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Thoughts on the "Experts"

SCall13

SCall13

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I was just thinking about this. I see all of these posts about CBS Sportline said this, John Clayton said..., Prisco said....Mort said...Joe Blow said...etc..

What is the percentages on these guys being right? How often do they get anything right? I would venture to say well less than 50% of the time and probably closer to 25% of the time. We hear how bad we'll be from one "expert" we hear how we've improved from another "expert" and we hear some "experts" criticizing Saban while others praise him. Some "experts" say we've had the best off season, some say we've had the worst - or close to it. Some say we are a year away, some say three, some say we could be competitive this year. So what is the correct answer....?

NOONE knows. We (alot of us) on this board are just as close to being right as the so called experts that we find ourselves depending upon for information and insight. They get paid alot of money for what we do on this board constantly: Speculate. These experts are about as reliable as weather men.
I don't suppose there is any moral to this post. I guess the main thing is I am taking more of a wait and see approach. I, like almost everyone here, have been a Dolphin fan all my life and I have never thought Miami would be BAD. They have let me down with losing records twice in my life time. Last year, of course, was one of them. The other was in 1988 (I believe). So as of now, I am thinking like I always think: Miami will succeed in 2005. I don't care what all those "experts" say....
 
Yeah, I know what your saying. But as far as in season reports, I think Mort is usually the most accurate of the bunch? Do those insider guys have the cell phone number to every NFL head coach and G.M. or what???
 
Well, I don't know how many of them get very well-paid. There is a journalistic obligation to only report stuff that might have a possibility of being true. Some - like Jayson Blair - violate that and are immediately blackballed. You have to consider what would be considered a successful rate of correct to incorrect. I can tell you that Peter Gammons is right a lot of the time.
 
well they just post news. Whether it be rumors or not, its just supposed to get us thinking. Most of the time they do know what they're talking about. Nothing that gets said on ESPN is ever 100% false. It had to have come from somewhere.
 
Saban4prez said:
well they just post news. Whether it be rumors or not, its just supposed to get us thinking. Most of the time they do know what they're talking about. Nothing that gets said on ESPN is ever 100% false. It had to have come from somewhere.
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I'm not talking about only news. I'm talking about predictions and such. As far as news though, there are conflicting reports constantly - so there has to be someone who is wrong and someone who is right.
 
What's funny about this board, is that if a writer says something negative about the Fins, he's suddenly a "terrible writer" and he doesn't "know football".

If he says something positive, he's suddenly "smart" and everyone likes him.
 
Every reporter has his/hers own opinion. I usually listen to the ex-players more, because they have been there. They know whats going on. We as fans might not like what the say, but we as fans have never been hit by Ray Lewis or caught a pass from Brett Favre. I'am a Dolphins fan from the early 70's and I'd love to see us win again, but just beacuse we have a new coach and a few new players doesn't make us legit. People on here say we'll be 4-12 again and some people say we'll be 10-6. How can people look at the schedule and say we'll win that one and we'll lose that one?? We as fans hope we'll go 10-6 or better, but really we as fans don't have a clue.
 
steveincolorado said:
Every reporter has his/hers own opinion. I usually listen to the ex-players more, because they have been there. They know whats going on. We as fans might not like what the say, but we as fans have never been hit by Ray Lewis or caught a pass from Brett Favre. I'am a Dolphins fan from the early 70's and I'd love to see us win again, but just beacuse we have a new coach and a few new players doesn't make us legit. People on here say we'll be 4-12 again and some people say we'll be 10-6. How can people look at the schedule and say we'll win that one and we'll lose that one?? We as fans hope we'll go 10-6 or better, but really we as fans don't have a clue.
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You might as well ask "Miss Cleo". She'll probably be more accurate than any of the sports writers. At any rate, no one can predict what will happen. It's the "any given day" deal. If a sports writer was that accurate..the only thing he'd be writing were his picks in Vegas!
 
Dogtag14450 said:
You might as well ask "Miss Cleo". She'll probably be more accurate than any of the sports writers. At any rate, no one can predict what will happen. It's the "any given day" deal. If a sports writer was that accurate..the only thing he'd be writing were his picks in Vegas!
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As Chris Berman says, "thats why you play the game"
 
I think miami has a better coaching staff than last year , better new players and a very interesting draft ....I don´t need to know about the analysts ....it´s obvious ........ that is a fact .

however nobody has a crystal ball to know the income of this season , and to assure something WILL happen .. is certainly speculation .
 
Dolphins To Win It All In 2005 I Feel Something Special Happening And It Starts On August 7th With Danny Marino's Hall Of Fame Induction Go Fins!
 
Mr.offerdahl said:
I think miami has a better coaching staff than last year , better new players and a very interesting draft ....I don´t need to know about the analysts ....it´s obvious ........ that is a fact .

however nobody has a crystal ball to know the income of this season , and to assure something WILL happen .. is certainly speculation .
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We don't know whether we have better coaches this year, we also don't know if the new players are better. We only know that there have been some changes.
If Dave W. was such a bad coach, why has he been coaching for 30 years? Why was he the NFL's coach of the year in 1993?
I hope we have a good year, but you just never know. For example, last year. Did anybody say we would go 4-12?
 
I ve' been a dolphin fan since 1970, been there for the up's and the very little down's when my friends tease me about this past season I just mention how many times the dolphins have been in the playoff since 1970. That pretty much shut's them up. As far as this up comming season the way i see it we have a great chance to be a really good team. I do not see us stinking up the NFL . Like we did last year. There's really no reason to think that.We may not go far in the playoffs but we usually don't, but we usually are there in the playoff hunt every single season. We will have 2 really and i do mean really good running backs. I believe that Ricky will want to prove something. So when he starts playing I believe he will be really good. Maybe with knowing that he will only be carrying the ball around 150-200 times this season will help him hit his stride early and gain alot of yards. Then again maybe it won't. It doesn't really matter because for the first time in a long time we have other people who can step up and fill a certain role. As far as wide reciever's our guys are good really good. and i believe that this year is the year they will step up and show the league how good they are. And Lastley, The Quarterback for the Dolphins, I don't think our three quarterbacks are all that bad. If Feeley has gotten the offense down and his timing down with the recievers Heh! the guy does have an arm, I think he will scramble more this year and i know our offensive line will be better. Go Fins................
 
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