This is something I have been looking at this year as far as player situation vs player talent. It was an interest created by an article I read on SI found here. The premise is that QB success in the NFL is largely due to that player situation, how the coaches bring along that QB and that QB having the time to gain confidence without the added pressure of the being the savior of the front office and coaching staff. I posted this in the VIP under another thread, but ideas fit this thread well.
One of the things I have noticed is that a majority of QBs who have long term success in the NFL are ones who are put in a good situation. Not necessarily on a team built to win day one (some have), but with coaches who ease their transition into the NFL. It seems like the plan for the QB is as important as the QB's talent.
Rothlisberger, Wilson, Brady, Rogers, Brees...these were guys who were not the most "talented" QBs in the draft (some far from it), but they were put in situations in the NFL were the early success on the team was not on their shoulders. Big Ben's first few seasons were carried by one of the top run games, an elite defense, and an excellent head coach. Russel Wilson was in the same situation. In fact, for all of those QB's they were not the guys who had to carry the team until the 4th or so season into their careers.
Even QBs who have had early success, Mahomes, Luck went into excellent situations. Luck did go into a team that had the number 1 pick, but they were a playoff team the year before. The Chiefs had more offensive weapons then the US army and still allowed Mahomes a year of sitting and learning before giving him the reigns.
This doesn't mean I don't want Tua or that I am disappointed in missing out on Tua. I am, he is the best QB in college, but if 50% of the equation is the plan for the QB and coaching, seeing what this staff is able to do with what they have is just as encouraging. To see the player development, the fact that even after the way the season started, players are still playing hard and fighting is extremely encouraging.
If the staff is right, the plan is right, then the QB doesn't need to be the "most talented" in the draft...A good fit and plan can allow that player to have just as much success.
I bag on Fromm and his smaller hand do worry me, but I have a hard time not seeing him as a very good fit for the type of offense the team seems to want to run. They value smarts and accuracy, and Fromm has both.
If you've followed PRO ball for a ling time I don't think you need studies or analysis to conclude situation/circumstances/surrounding talent and COACHING are the cornerstones to QBs success. Even the most singular dominant QB ever to play benefited from outstanding coaching and an excellent "plug-and-play" situation in Miami. In contrast, Archie Manning was subjected to ruin in New Orleans when he could have easily been one of the "exalted" all-time greats if he had landed in a superior situation.
I think dudes that literally dominate at the physical level like Lawrence Taylor, or Dick Butkus, or Reggie White are the hyper rare exceptions -- their transcendent physicality would be obvious and compelling even in the worst case scenario team wise. But still, such talent always shines brighter in a highly complimentary environment.
That said, I still believe football is the ultimate team game -- which supports (I believe) your core thesis in that creating a winning combination is NOT dependent on one "super special" ingredient. Winning consistently in the NFL is based on a positive synergy between all aspects of the org + player talent + chemistry.
Last, your take, as well others on this forum, including my own in prior posts, supports the possibility that Fromm could be a "very good fit" in what we believe the "team" values @QB. Kinda funny because at lunchtime today I watched the Auburn GA game in '18 only because I wanted to see more of Fromm. He's certainly not "spectacular" in ANY way and is physically bested by multiple prospects in '20. But... the kid has a certain quality that you could also say is unique onto his own...
I just see the kid sliding amid all the delicious talent that will be tempting teams while he's still on the board!
In fact I think he's a HOF pick top of R3!
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