First, let's look at his numbers by seasons in which he played at least one regular season game:
1997 Washington Redskins: 1 G (0 GS)
- Passing: 0/1 (0.0%), 0 YD (LG 0, 0 20+ YD, 0 40+ YD), 0.0 Y/G, 0.0 Y/A, 0 TD, 0 INT, 39.6 QB Rating
- Rushing: 0 RUSH, 0 YD (LG 0, 0 20+ YD, 0 for 1st Down), 0.0 Y/G, 0.0 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 0 Sacks, 0 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 0 Fumbles, 0 Lost
1998 Washington Redskins: 15 G (14 GS)
- Passing: 278/509 (54.6%), 3441 YD (LG 75, 40 20+ YD, 7 40+ YD), 229.4 Y/G, 6.76 Y/A, 23 TD, 11 INT, 81.8 QB Rating
- Rushing: 42 RUSH, 117 YD (LG 13, 0 20+ YD, 8 for 1st Down), 7.8 Y/G, 2.8 Y/R, 2 TD
- Sacks: 49 Sacks, 338 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 14 Fumbles, 7 Lost
2000 St. Louis Rams: 8 G (5 GS)
- Passing: 145/240 (60.4%), 2063 YD (LG 64, 30 20+ YD, 7 40+ YD), 257.9 Y/G, 8.60 Y/A, 16 TD, 5 INT, 101.8 QB Rating
- Rushing: 20 RUSH, 69 YD (LG 18, 0 20+ YD, 6 for 1st Down), 8.6 Y/G, 3.5 Y/R, 1 TD
- Sacks: 24 Sacks, 145 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 3 Fumbles, 2 Lost
2001 Kansas City Chiefs: 16 G (16 GS)
- Passing: 296/523 (56.6%), 3783 YD (LG 67, 51 20+ YD, 12 40+ YD), 236.4 Y/G, 7.23 Y/A, 17 TD, 24 INT, 71.1 QB Rating
- Rushing: 35 RUSH, 158 YD (LG 16, 0 20+ YD, 8 for 1st Down), 9.9 Y/G, 4.5 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 39 Sacks, 198 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 11 Fumbles, 4 Lost
2002 Kansas City Chiefs: 16 G (16 GS)
- Passing: 287/470 (61.1%), 3690 YD (LG 99, 46 20+ YD, 13 40+ YD), 230.6 Y/G, 7.85 Y/A, 26 TD, 13 INT, 92.6 QB Rating
- Rushing: 31 RUSH, 225 YD (LG 24, 2 20+ YD, 11 for 1st Down), 14.1 Y/G, 7.3 Y/R, 1 TD
- Sacks: 26 Sacks, 141 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 1 Fumbles, 0 Lost
2003 Kansas City Chiefs: 16 G (16 GS)
- Passing: 330/523 (63.1%), 4039 YD (LG 67, 54 20+ YD, 8 40+ YD), 252.4 Y/G, 7.72 Y/A, 24 TD, 12 INT, 92.6 QB Rating
- Rushing: 26 RUSH, 83 YD (LG 14, 0 20+ YD, 8 for 1st Down), 5.2 Y/G, 3.2 Y/R, 2 TD
- Sacks: 20 Sacks, 130 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 5 Fumbles, 1 Lost
2004 Kansas City Chiefs: 16 G (16 GS)
- Passing: 369/556 (66.4%), 4591 YD (LG 70, 59 20+ YD, 9 40+ YD), 286.9 Y/G, 8.26 Y/A, 27 TD, 17 INT, 95.2 QB Rating
- Rushing: 25 RUSH, 85 YD (LG 13, 0 20+ YD, 4 for 1st Down), 5.3 Y/G, 3.4 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 32 Sacks, 227 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 11 Fumbles, 4 Lost
2005 Kansas City Chiefs: 16 G (16 GS)
- Passing: 317/507 (62.5%), 4014 YD (LG 60, 51 20+ YD, 11 40+ YD), 250.9 Y/G, 7.92 Y/A, 17 TD, 10 INT, 90.1 QB Rating
- Rushing: 35 RUSH, 82 YD (LG 13, 0 20+ YD, 9 for 1st Down), 5.1 Y/G, 2.3 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 32 Sacks, 204 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 8 Fumbles, 4 Lost
2006 Kansas City Chiefs: 8 G (8 GS)
- Passing: 121/198 (61.1%), 1342 YD (LG 39, 13 20+ YD, 0 40+ YD), 167.8 Y/G, 6.78 Y/A, 7 TD, 9 INT, 74.1 QB Rating
- Rushing:19 RUSH, 59 YD (LG 10, 0 20+ YD, 5 for 1st Down), 7.4 Y/G, 3.1 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 24 Sacks, 127 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 5 Fumbles, 3 Lost
CAREER TOTAL: 112 G (107 GS)
- Passing: 2143/3527 (60.8%), 26,963 YD (LG 99, 344 20+ YD, 67 40+ YD), 240.7 Y/G, 7.64 Y/A, 157 TD, 101 INT, 87.5 QB Rating
- Rushing: 233 RUSH, 878 YD (LG 24, 2 20+ YD, 59 for 1st Down), 7.8 Y/G, 3.8 Y/R, 6 TD
- Sacks: 246 Sacks, 1510 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 58 Fumbles, 25 Lost
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There are a few things I would like to point out regarding those stats:
- Trent surpassed 4000 passing yards in a season three times in his career (2003-2005) and may have done it for the fourth consecutive year last year had it not been for his concussion.
- His completion percentage has been at or above 60% in all but two seasons in which he played a minimum of 8 games.
- He passed for an average of at least 229.4 Y/G in every season except his injury-plagued season of 2006.
- A total of 227 passes were completed for 20-39 yards and 67 were completed for 40 or more yards.
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Now, let's analyze those career stats in various situations and how they apply to the Dolphins 2007 regular season schedule:
HOME vs. AWAY (Dolphins have 7 games at Dolphin Stadium with 1 "home" game in London, along with 8 road games in 2007)
Home (58 G)
- Passing: 1054/1708 (61.7%), 13,421 YD, 231.4 Y/G, 7.9 Y/A, 78 TD, 45 INT, 90.5 QB Rating
- Rushing: 138 RUSH, 539 YD, 9.3 Y/G, 3.9 Y/R, 3 TD
- Sacks: 138 Sacks, 838 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 35 Fumbles, 15 Lost
Away (54 G)
- Passing: 1089/1819 (59.9%), 13,542 YD, 250.8 Y/G, 7.4 Y/A, 79 TD, 56 INT, 84.6 QB Rating
- Rushing: 95 RUSH, 339 YD, 6.3 Y/G, 3.6 Y/R, 3 TD
- Sacks: 108 Sacks, 672 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 23 Fumbles, 10 Lost
DAY vs NIGHT GAMES (Dolphins play 15 of their 16 games this season in daylight; lone primetime game - the MNF game vs Pittsburgh)
Day (96 G)
- Passing: 1825/2986 (61.1%), 22,813 YD, 237.6 Y/G, 7.6 Y/A, 135 TD, 88 INT, 87.6 QB Rating
- Rushing: 204 RUSH, 770 YD, 8.0 Y/G, 3.8 Y/R, 5 TD
- Sacks: 211 Sacks, 1310 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 53 Fumbles, 23 Lost
Night (16 G)
- Passing: 318/541 (58.8%), 4150 YD, 259.4 Y/G, 7.7 Y/A, 22 TD, 13 INT, 86.6 QB Rating
- Rushing: 29 RUSH, 108 YD, 6.8 Y/G, 3.7 Y/R, 1 TD
- Sacks: 35 Sacks, 200 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 5 Fumbles, 2 Lost
GRASS vs TURF (Dolphins play 13 games on grass, 3 on turf in 2007)
Grass (94 G)
- Passing: 1808/2960 (61.1%), 22,578 YD, 240.2 Y/G, 7.6 Y/A, 138 TD, 85 INT, 88.3 QB Rating
- Rushing: 207 RUSH, 767 YD, 8.2 Y/G, 3.7 Y/R, 6 TD
- Sacks: 197 Sacks, 1226 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 46 Fumbles, 18 Lost
Turf (8 G)
- Passing: 335/567 (59.1%), 4385 YD, 243.6 Y/G, 7.7 Y/A, 19 TD, 16 INT, 83.0 QB Rating
- Rushing: 26 RUSH, 111 YD, 6.2 Y/G, 4.3 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 49 Sacks, 284 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 12 Fumbles, 7 Lost
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Overall, it seems as though Green plays better at home, during the day, and on a natural grass surface. Moving on...
We have finally arrived at the pivotal moment of this thread - Trent Green's career statistics against the Dolphins' 2007 opponents. They are as follows:
Baltimore Ravens (3 G, 3 GS; 2-1 record)
- Passing: 53/86 (61.6%), 560 YD, 186.7 Y/G, 6.5 Y/A, 3 TD, 2 INT, 82.5 QB Rating
- Rushing: 8 RUSH, 31 YD, 10.3 Y/G, 3.9 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 9 Sacks, 63 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 2 Fumbles, 1 Lost
Buffalo Bills (3 G, 3 GS; 2-1 record)
- Passing: 55/95 (57.9%), 690 YD, 230.0 Y/G, 7.3 Y/A, 2 TD, 3 INT, 74.5 QB Rating
- Rushing: 7 RUSH, 30 YD, 10.0 Y/G, 4.3 Y/R, 1 TD
- Sacks: 7 Sacks, 59 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 1 Fumbles, 1 Lost
Cincinnati Bengals (3 G, 3 GS; 2-1 record)
- Passing: 62/86 (72.1%), 747 YD, 249.0 Y/G, 8.7 Y/A, 3 TD, 1 INT, 105.1 QB Rating
- Rushing: 9 RUSH, 20 YD, 6.7 Y/G, 2.2 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 6 Sacks, 42 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 2 Fumbles, 0 Lost
Cleveland Browns (3 G, 3 GS; 2-1 record)
- Passing: 73/103 (70.9%), 941 YD, 313.7 Y/G, 9.1 Y/A, 8 TD, 2 INT, 117.0 QB Rating
- Rushing: 3 RUSH, 17 YD, 5.7 Y/G, 5.7 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 5 Sacks, 22 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 1 Fumbles, 1 Lost
Dallas Cowboys (3 G, 3 GS; 0-3 record)
- Passing: 54/96 (56.3%), 756 YD, 252.0 Y/G, 7.9 Y/A, 3 TD, 2 INT, 83.5 QB Rating
- Rushing: 4 RUSH, 21 YD, 7.0 Y/G, 5.3 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 7 Sacks, 48 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 2 Fumbles, 1 Lost
Houston Texans (3 G, 3 GS; 2-1 record)
- Passing: 56/87 (64.4%), 708 YD, 236.0 Y/G, 8.1 Y/A, 7 TD, 4 INT, 97.3 QB Rating
- Rushing: 4 RUSH, 17 YD, 5.7 Y/G, 4.3 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 4 Sacks, 32 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 1 Fumbles, 0 Lost
New England Patriots (3 G, 3 GS; 1-2 record)
- Passing: 62/93 (66.7%), 853 YD, 284.3 Y/G, 9.2 Y/A, 6 TD, 3 INT, 103.9 QB Rating
- Rushing: 7 RUSH, 11 YD, 3.7 Y/G, 1.6 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 9 Sacks, 64 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 1 Fumbles, 0 Lost
New York Giants (5 G, 5 GS; 2-3 record)
- Passing: 97/163 (59.5%), 1065 YD, 213.0 Y/G, 6.5 Y/A, 7 TD, 3 INT, 85.5 QB Rating
- Rushing: 16 RUSH, 92 YD, 18.4 Y/G, 5.8 Y/R, 2 TD
- Sacks: 11 Sacks, 70 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 1 Fumbles, 1 Lost
New York Jets (3 G, 3 GS; 2-1 record)
- Passing: 54/90 (60.0%), 639 YD, 213.0 Y/G, 7.1 Y/A, 3 TD, 5 INT, 69.6 QB Rating
- Rushing: 3 RUSH, 0 YD, 0.0 Y/G, 0.0 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 5 Sacks, 35 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 2 Fumbles, 1 Lost
Oakland Raiders (13 G, 13 GS; 10-3 record)
- Passing: 230/400 (57.5%), 2914 YD, 224.2 Y/G, 7.3 Y/A, 15 TD, 9 INT, 83.5 QB Rating
- Rushing: 30 RUSH, 96 YD, 7.4 Y/G, 3.2 Y/R, 1 TD
- Sacks: 26 Sacks, 141 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 7 Fumbles, 4 Lost
Philadelphia Eagles (5 G, 4 GS; 2-3 record)
- Passing: 66/120 (55.0%), 718 YD, 143.6 Y/G, 6.0 Y/A, 4 TD, 4 INT, 70.1 QB Rating
- Rushing: 6 RUSH, 17 YD, 3.4 Y/G, 2.8 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 13 Sacks, 73 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 3 Fumbles, 2 Lost
Pittsburgh Steelers (2 G, 2 GS; 1-1 record)
- Passing: 31/54 (57.4%), 251 YD, 125.5 Y/G, 4.6 Y/A, 1 TD, 3 INT, 52.3 QB Rating
- Rushing: 4 RUSH, 12 YD, 6.0 Y/G, 3.0 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 5 Sacks, 22 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 0 Fumbles, 0 Lost
Washington Redskins (3 G, 3 GS; 2-1 record)
- Passing: 59/89 (66.3%), 854 YD, 284.7 Y/G, 9.6 Y/A, 6 TD, 1 INT, 115.1 QB Rating
- Rushing: 7 RUSH, 30 YD, 10.0 Y/G, 4.3 Y/R, 0 TD
- Sacks: 8 Sacks, 26 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 1 Fumbles, 0 Lost
CAREER TOTAL (52 games vs Dolphins 2007 opponents):
- Passing: 952/1562 (60.9%), 11,696 YD, 224.9 Y/G, 7.5 Y/A, 68 TD, 42 INT, 87.4 QB Rating
- Rushing: 108 RUSH, 394 YD, 7.6 Y/G, 3.6 Y/R, 4 TD
- Sacks: 115 Sacks, 697 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 24 Fumbles, 12 Lost
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First and foremost, look at those QB rating numbers against Cincinnati, Cleveland, Houston, New England, and Washington! Trent has a winning record against 8 of the 13 opponents he will face this season. The only team he has yet to defeat is the Dallas Cowboys, though two of the three losses came when he was a member of the Redskins (who usually can't beat the 'Boys). Please note that all games played against the above teams came in the regular season.
Using the above career totals against this year's opponents, I present to you the projected totals for Trent Green this season:
PROJECTED TOTAL FOR 2007
- Passing: 293/481 (60.9%), 3599 YD, 224.9 Y/G, 7.5 Y/A, 21 TD, 13 INT, 87.3 QB Rating
- Rushing: 33 RUSH, 121 YD, 7.6 Y/G, 3.7 Y/R, 1 TD
- Sacks: 35 Sacks, 214 YD Lost
- Fumbles: 7 Fumbles, 4 Lost