What Needs To Change?

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by illscriptures, Apr 30, 2019.

  1. tay0365

    tay0365 FinHeaven VIP Finheaven VIP Donator

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    I am just hoping we stop getting hit with season ending injuries.

    Injuries are part of the game, and all teams need to deal with it, but when a team year in, year out gets hit with injuries for the season...that is too much to deal with.
     
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  2. Feverdream

    Feverdream Well-Known Member

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    There is only some truth to this. Keep in mind how many supposed quality players go bust.

    There is an ongoing proof of this right now. Go to Rotoworld and see how many teams are declining their 5th year options on their former 1st round picks.

    If there was a clear cut difference between quality and quantity, this wouldn't happen. By frequently trading back you double your chances to hit on future stars.
     
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  3. fansinceGWilson

    fansinceGWilson FinHeaven VIP Finheaven VIP Donator

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    I agreed until you got to "double your chances . . . " trading a 1st for two 3rds (example only), a team DOES get twice as many draft picks, but the odds of them becoming quality starters drops significantly. Since the purpose of the draft is to get quality starters, it is necessary to determine the odds of 'hitting' with the two picks compared to the one pick. Statistically, the odds are worse and get worse the further down the board the picks are.

    Yes, quite a few teams pass on the 5th year option of R1 picks, but far more 'stick' than in later rounds. I'm for trading down, but never more than a few spots.
     
  4. Feverdream

    Feverdream Well-Known Member

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    Fair enough... I'd never trade a 1 for two threes...
    No one else would either.

    Now, I'd trade down in the first for a later 1st, a second and throw in picks.
     
  5. DKphin

    DKphin FinHeaven VIP Finheaven VIP Donator

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    My optimism is higher with the guy from the AFA than Charles Harris.:(
     
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  6. fansinceGWilson

    fansinceGWilson FinHeaven VIP Finheaven VIP Donator

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    I'll agree. Trade down a FEW spots. There are people though who want to trade down and repeat process. Thus, trade the R1 #25 (I'm using a low R1 pick since those teams have fewer needs and can gamble) for a R2 pick and a couple of 3rds (I don't have the value chart). BUT, then go on to trading that R2 pick for a 3rd and a 4th. The goal is strictly more picks. That is where I'm out. Yes, a team ends up with a lot of 3rds and lower, but the chance of success is so small compared to a R1 pick, it doesn't justify the 'quantity' argument. Simple statistics.
     
  7. Feverdream

    Feverdream Well-Known Member

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    You reach a point where you can have too many picks. With a 53 man roster that is already quite good, you can then package the extras to move up.

    But we aren't that team.
     
  8. illscriptures

    illscriptures We need better LB's

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    Unfortunately we might not be for a long time if we squander the next draft too.
     
  9. Feverdream

    Feverdream Well-Known Member

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    I think we will be quite happy with the new regime. I really like how they moved around to reduce the price on Rosen.

    They resisted the urge to buy any FAs this year, guaranteeing getting compensation picks next year.

    Smart teams do this. Before now, that wasn't us.
     
  10. Etuoo33

    Etuoo33 Seasoned Veteran

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    Point taken, but the odds are not in favor.
     
  11. Albert Romano

    Albert Romano Super Donator Super Donator Finheaven VIP

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    Looks like one long tenured scout is leaving.

     
  12. Stoobz

    Stoobz Eschew the Onvious Finheaven VIP

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    Not having a dysfunctional coaching staff cannot be overstated.

    That will ease the pain of several problems.

    I see it happening.
     
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  13. bane

    bane FinHeaven VIP Finheaven VIP

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    So if we get better coaching you think we will do better then 10 and 6 , 6 and 10, and 7-9?
    Good qb will make the difference. But I doubt we reach 7-9. Why do you think so?
     
  14. z926538

    z926538 Rookie

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    What needs to change? How about the owner???
     
  15. MinnFinFan

    MinnFinFan Well-Known Member

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    We have to have a higher "hit" rate on our picks and free agent signings. We need more Jason Taylor's and Zach Thomas's instead of Dion Jordan or Charles Harris.
     

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