Football fans love the draft because of the hope that accompanies it. Rookies bring the promise of a better tomorrow for teams. If you ask most fans, they will say that they love their team's draft class. That appears to be no different amongst Dolphins fans. But what we must ask ourselves is: how much immediate impact will this draft class? If you listen to some fans, you would think that each player has to play at an extremely high level in order for the Dolphins to be successful. If you listen to others, they will say that most of the rookies will be backups and special teams guys and won't have a large impact, if they even make the team. The truth is probably somewhere in the middle.
Most team's draft classes produce one or two immediate starting players. Any more than that and it's considered a great draft. Odds are the Miami Dolphins will get about two players from this draft that will start this season. The others will be part time contributors as backups and special teamers. Here's a look at each draftee and what fans should expect from them in 2013.
Dion Jordan
When you are a first round pick, there are high expectations for you. When you are a top 5 pick, those expectations are higher. When a team trades up for you, those expectations go through the roof. When the commissioner announced that Miami had traded up for Jordan, visions of he and Wake having a ‘meeting at the quarterback' danced in our heads. It's a fair expectation for fans to have of Jordan. His athleticism, ability, and potential warrant that. However, should that be what we expect from him in his rookie year?
I think a fair expectation of Jordan in his rookie year is as a third down pass rushing specialist and tight end coverage specialist. I don't think it's a good expectation to envision him as a full time defensive end yet. Jordan still needs to add about 10-20 pounds of muscle to fill that role and the recovery time from his shoulder surgery is limiting that. Plus, the Dolphins already have Jared Odrick and Olivier Vernon who are more polished pass rushers and have that advantage over him right now.
In terms of production, I think anywhere from 5-8 sacks is a good expectation, Yes, some players had better production as rookies, but we shouldn't let that be our expectation for him. A good comparison for Jordan is his defensive end running mate, Cameron Wake. In Wake's rookie season, he amassed 23 tackles and 5.5 sacks. He was a part time player, which will be how Jordan starts out. If Jordan steadily improves over the season, his role as a full time player will increase. I think Dolphins fans should let the coaching staff use this season as a developmental year for Jordan and then let him wreak havoc in 2014. At that point, we can start thinking about 10+ sack seasons for Jordan.