Okay guys so if we out would have to knock off the Broncos for the #5 spot and that's very much a possibility. The Broncos will play the Colts, Raiders, Eagles, and Chiefs, I think they go 2 - 2 in those games (wins over Raiders and Chiefs obviously). Well that would put them at 10-6 for the season. If we win out we go 10-6 too. So we go to Tiebreakers ( http://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakingprocedures ): Now we never played head to head so scratch that. We would both end up 6-4 in the AFC so scratch that. The next tiebreaker is Common games (4 minimum).
We have both played:
NE - Miami 1 - 1, Denver -Win
Indy, - Miami - Lost, Denver - Lost
Pitts - Miami - Win, Denver - Lost
SD - Miami - Lost, Denver 1 - 1
So in common games we have a 2-3 record and they have a 2-3 record. So scratch that. So it comes down to Strength of Victory. Broncos probably have a slight edge here with wins over Cinci, Dallas, and SD, but KC and OAK are so terrible it could bring down their average. I think it will be close if it comes down to this, but it’s nice to see we do have a shot. I'm not saying this will happen and by this time net week this may all be a moot point, but if anyone was interested here is the breakdown.
We have both played:
NE - Miami 1 - 1, Denver -Win
Indy, - Miami - Lost, Denver - Lost
Pitts - Miami - Win, Denver - Lost
SD - Miami - Lost, Denver 1 - 1
So in common games we have a 2-3 record and they have a 2-3 record. So scratch that. So it comes down to Strength of Victory. Broncos probably have a slight edge here with wins over Cinci, Dallas, and SD, but KC and OAK are so terrible it could bring down their average. I think it will be close if it comes down to this, but it’s nice to see we do have a shot. I'm not saying this will happen and by this time net week this may all be a moot point, but if anyone was interested here is the breakdown.