Unfortunately your stats are correct. Many posters fail to realize that the percentage of starters from each round severely drop from the 1st round through the 7th round.That’s not what I’m saying at all. I’m just talking odds. If you draft an OT in the first round, you have about a 25% chance he’s going to turn into a long term starting LT. The deeper in the draft you go, the worse those odds get.
So if our late second round pick doesn’t become a starter, it’s not really a bust. It’s a bust if he can’t play at all. If he becomes a solid backup swing tackle, that’s basically a break even.
Look at it this way: 8 OTs went in the first round this year. Another 9 went between our pick (#55) and pick #79. Of those 17 OTs, very few will become long term starters at LT. Most will never be long term starters at any position. Dozens more were drafted after pick #79 and/or signed as UDFAs, and the odds are even worse for those guys.
If you get 1 difference maker and a few contributors, that’s a home run draft.
Only 50% of first round draft picks ever become solid starters in the NFL and the odds go down to 33% of second round picks ever becoming solid staters in the NFL.
The odds of third through seventh round picks becoming solid starters drops considerably for each round.
The reality is that the vast majority of the players selected in the 2024 draft will never become solid starters in the NFL and the majority of them will be out of the NFL within 2 to 3 years.
Hopefully the Dolphins drafted at least a couple of players who can beat the odds but only time will tell.