2016 AFC Playoff Picture and Dolphins fans Rooting Guide Week 15 | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

2016 AFC Playoff Picture and Dolphins fans Rooting Guide Week 15

Perfect72

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The Miami Dolphins are tied for an AFC Wildcard position, but they are currently on the outside looking in based on tie breakers. This week’s rooting guide focuses on trying to get Miami ahead of those tie breakers, either by winning and putting a game between them and everyone else, or by having a team that could disrupt Miami’s Wildcard positioning move into their respective division leads. That means teams like the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Tennessee Titans are, hopefully, going to win their division and keep the Wildcard clear for the Dolphins.

(Yes, the Dolphins hold the head-to-head tie break on Pittsburgh, but the Steelers beat Miami in a three-way tie with the Broncos due to AFC conference record).

Basically, if everything goes right for the Dolphins, starting with a win over the New York Jets on Saturday night, they could find themselves in the sixth seed position by the end of the weekend. They then just need to take care of business in the final two weeks - potentially even being able to go 1-1 over those games - to ensure they make the Playoffs.

All across the AFC there are games that can help or hurt Miami in the chase for their first postseason appearance since 2008. Here are this week’s games, and the Dolphins fans’ rooting guide:. AFC Teams are indicated with their records shown.

[h=3]Current AFC Playoff Standings:[/h]1. New England Patriots (11-2) - AFC East leader
2. Kansas City Chiefs (10-3) - AFC West leader
3. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-5) - AFC North leader
4. Houston Texans (7-6) - AFC South leader
5. Oakland Raiders (10-3) - Wildcard 1
6. Denver Broncos (8-5) - Wildcard 2

[h=3]Miami Dolphins (8-5) at New York Jets (4-9)[/h]Pretty simple, right? Plus, the Jets losing is always great. Root for: Miami.

[h=3]Cleveland Browns (0-13) at Buffalo Bills (6-7)[/h]The Bills are two games behind the Dolphins, so really, a win here would not hurt Miami and could play into the strength of victory/schedule tie breaks.s. But, a loss to the winless Browns could be the deciding factor in making Cardale Jones the starting quarterback, which would mean he would get his first career starts against....the Dolphins. That is always fun. Hopefully, Cleveland can pull it out. Root for: Cleveland.

[h=3]Philadelphia Eagles at Baltimore Ravens (7-6)[/h]This is where we start to get into confusing scenarios. The Ravens winning the AFC North should have been the best scenario for Miami, given the head-to-head advantage the Ravens have over the Dolphins now, but they have fallen a game behind the Dolphins and the rest of the AFC 8-5 teams, including Pittsburgh, who has the AFC North lead now. However, if Baltimore were now to take the division lead again, Pittsburgh would beat Miami in a three-way tie with the Dolphins and Denver, despite Miami having the head-to-head win over Pittsburgh. That would mean, it is actually better at this point to keep Baltimore behind the Dolphins and the Steelers. Like I said, it is confusing. Root for: Philadelphia.

[h=3]Tennessee Titans (7-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (10-3)[/h]The Chiefs took over the AFC West lead with their victory over Oakland last week. Now, they are the second seeded team in the current playoff standings. That hurt Miami, because it means Oakland falls into the first Wildcard position and is now two games ahead of Miami. Tennessee is a game behind the Dolphins, but is tied for the AFC South lead. That could mean, Tennessee, with a win, moves into a Playoff spot, but not one Miami could claim, while Kansas City losing could make up a game on a potential Wildcard team depending on what happens between Oakland and the Chiefs over the next few weeks. That should be the best goal for Miami. Root for: Tennessee.

[h=3]Pittsburgh Steelers (8-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-7-1)[/h]If the Ravens lose, as we have selected above, then the Steelers losing here actually could help Miami in the long run. If Miami were to win and Pittsburgh were to lose, that would put Miami a game ahead of them record wise. That would mean, should Baltimore catch back up to the Steelers - and they play each other next week - PIttsburgh would be a game behind Miami in the Wildcard race, eliminating the three-way tie option. Root for: Cincinnati.

[h=3]Jacksonville Jaguars (2-11) at Houston Texans (7-6)[/h]The Texans are currently leading the AFC South, but they are a game behind Miami record-wise. It actually would be more beneficial for Miami to have the Titans move into the division lead, given Tennessee’s head-to-head win over Miami, so a slip in the Wildcard hunt would not make that a factor. That means Miami should want Houston to lose here. Root for: Jacksonville.

[h=3]New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals[/h]Two NFC teams, but the strength of victory/schedule tie breaks have an impact here. Arizona winning helps Miami, given Miami beat Arizona last weekend. Root for: Arizona.

[h=3]San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons[/h]Another two NFC teams, and another chance to better the strength of victory/schedule. Root for: San Francisco.

[h=3]Oakland Raiders (10-3) at San Diego Chargers (5-8)[/h]Basically, the same arguments for the Chiefs to lose above hold for the Raiders here. They are currently in the first Wildcard position, and they could still claim the AFC West crown, but Miami could use losses from both the Chiefs and the Raiders to potentially bring the top Wildcard position into play. Miami also beat the Chargers this year, so the strength of victory/schedule tie breaks are a factor with them winning. Root for: San Diego.

[h=3]New England Patriots (11-2) at Denver Broncos (8-5)[/h]We have reached that unfortunate time of year where it seems inevitable that the AFC East title will again go to the Patriots. They clinch with either a win or a Miami loss. That means, honestly, the hope to unseat New England should be considered over, with all of the focus on getting into the Wildcard position currently held by Denver. With that said, Miami fans should root for the Patriots to win the AFC East this weekend, because that would give Denver another loss, and, with a Miami win, push them behind the Dolphins. Root for: New England.

More at LINK: http://www.thephinsider.com/2016/12...-rooting-guide-broncos-steelers-patriots-jets
 
Great post.

I would actually argue that we want Houston to win out for a different reason. With Houston winning out, there is a big chance that we would play them in the playoffs (assuming of course we make it).. I dont know about all of you but I'd much rather face Brock Osweiler and that offense over the likes of Big Ben and definitely no to the Ravens.
 
So basically we need almost every game to go the opposite way of what it's likely to do. No one said it was going to be easy. Gotta love being a Phins fan! :up:
 
I think rooting for Tennessee makes no sense? We are not catching KC or Oakland so why not keep the ones on our tails off our tails?
 
Beat NY and Buffalo and basically the playoffs begin. New England is our Wildcard under that scenario. One could argue the playoffs actually start Saturday for Miami, because a Jets loss would be catastrophic for the team mentally and tie-breaker wise. Overall just enjoy the rest of the ride.


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I don't see this weekend as a MUST WIN but we definitely need it a lot. Now if we lose this weekend, Buffalo and NE become MUST WINS.
 
Simple guide: We want Denver and Tennessee to lose and another Ravens loss is bonus as long as we beat the Jets.
 
So basically we need almost every game to go the opposite way of what it's likely to do. No one said it was going to be easy. Gotta love being a Phins fan! :up:

The only important game for Miami aside from their own is the NE/Denver game. If Miami loses then the other games become hugely important. What Houston, Tennessee, Pittsburgh, and Baltimore do means nothing if Miami doesn't lose.
 
I don't see this weekend as a MUST WIN but we definitely need it a lot. Now if we lose this weekend, Buffalo and NE become MUST WINS.


I saw the Baltimore game as a MUST WIN game, but Miami blew it. They controlled their own fate until that loss. They may beat the Jets, but they'll probably lose to Buffalo and New England.
 
I saw the Baltimore game as a MUST WIN game, but Miami blew it. They controlled their own fate until that loss. They may beat the Jets, but they'll probably lose to Buffalo and New England.
Way to stay positive :up:
 
AFC Playoff Clinch Scenarios - Week 15

Playoff Scenarios Week 15

New England Patriots

Clinch AFC East with:

Win/tie OR
Miami loss/tie
Clinch first-round bye with:

Win/tie OR
Miami loss/tie and Pittsburgh loss/tie OR
Miami loss/tie and Kansas City win

Kansas City Chiefs

Clinch playoff berth with:

Win OR
Kansas City tie and Miami loss OR
Kansas City tie and Denver loss/tie OR
Denver loss and Baltimore loss/tie OR
Denver loss and Pittsburgh loss/tie

Oakland Raiders

Clinch playoff berth with:

Win OR
Tie and Miami loss OR
Tie and Denver loss OR
Tie and Miami tie and Denver tie OR
Tie and Miami tie and Kansas City win OR
Miami loss and Pittsburgh loss/tie and Denver loss OR
Miami loss and Pittsburgh loss/tie and Kansas City win/tie OR
Miami loss and Baltimore loss/tie and Denver loss OR
Miami loss and Baltimore loss/tie and Kansas City win/tie

Eliminated:

New York Jets (4-9)
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-11)
Cleveland Browns (0-13)

LINK: http://www.thephinsider.com/2016/12...-to-do-seahawks-patriots-chiefs-raiders-lions
 
So who should we be rooting for the Patriots or Denver? It seems like we want the Pats to win but the Division still exist doesn't it?
 
I think rooting for Tennessee makes no sense? We are not catching KC or Oakland so why not keep the ones on our tails off our tails?

If KC loses, that would make the game vs Broncos very important, and maybe Pats have home field advantage locked last week of the season and they don't play the regulars much in that game against the Dolphins.
 
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