9-Step Process for Dolphins to Make 2014 Playoffs - Sun Sentinel | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

9-Step Process for Dolphins to Make 2014 Playoffs - Sun Sentinel

Perfect72

Perfect72

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http://www.sun-sentinel.com/sports/...ns-to-still-make-playoffs-20141216-story.html
By Dave Hyde - Sun Sentinel

Well, I’ve done it! I’ve mapped the miracle! I’ve figured how the Dolphins can defy the odds, save this era and make the playoffs in one, simple, nine-step process (with the help of ESPN's playoff machine).

Ready?

1. The Dolphins beat Minnesota. Hey, the Dolphins are a 7-point favorite (what is Vegas thinking?)
Miami Dolphins Offensive CoordinatorBill Lazor discusses Ryan Tannehill's improvement.
2. The Dolphins beat the Jets in what will be the Termination Bowl. Both Joe Philbin and Rex Ryan will be coaching their final games -- unless the Dolphins pull out this nine-step dance.
3. Buffalo loses at Oakland or its finale at New England. Not hard to imagine. That makes the Bills 9-7. Since the Dolphins and Bills split this year's series, the Dolphins need these endings to win the second tie-breaker of records against AFC East opponents. They're both 3-2 right now. The Dolphins would end 4-2. The Bills would be 3-3.
4. Pittsburgh loses at Kansas City and ...
5. .. against Cincinnati to finish 9-7. Both of these would probably be the way you'd pick the game.
6. Baltimore loses at Houston and ...
7. ... against Cleveland to finish 9-7. Neither of these would be the way you'd pick the games.
8. Houston must lose its finale (8) to Jacksonville and finish 8-8. A stretch. But not impossible.
9. Kansas City beats San Diego in the finale.

FootballOutsiders.com lists the percentage change of a team making the playoffs. It has the Dolphins at zero percent chance. The pessimsts. They rounded down the number.All of this allows the Dolphins to win the tie-breaker over Pittsburgh for the sixth seed based on the winning percentage of common games. Baltimore, Jacksonville and the Jets are the common opponents. Pittsburgh split with Baltimore, beat Jacksonville and lost to the Jets. They'd be 2-2. The Dolphins would be 3-1 if they beat the Jets in the final.

If you go by the mathematical multipler of the chance and consider all games being equal (no better team, no home field advantage, etc), the Dolphins chance of nine things happening is one in 512. That's a .19 percent chance of happening. Not 19 percent ... it's .19 percent chance.
Hercules had his 12 Labors.
The Dolphins have their Nine Steps. :ponder:
 
Perfect72 said:
FootballOutsiders.com lists the percentage change of a team making the playoffs. It has the Dolphins at zero percent chance.
Click to expand...

:chuckle:

At least I can enjoy a stress free holiday season knowing we have no chance. Time to catch up on some college games and look towards the draft...
 
Up until that Ravens must lose out part I thought it was possible...that I just don't see...the Texans are gonna be rolling out straight trash at qb

I was hoping if we won out and the Ravens got in we could win a tie breaker over the other options for the 6 seed at 9-7...but appears we cant
 
Perfect72 said:
http://www.sun-sentinel.com/sports/...ns-to-still-make-playoffs-20141216-story.html
By Dave Hyde - Sun Sentinel

Well, I’ve done it! I’ve mapped the miracle! I’ve figured how the Dolphins can defy the odds, save this era and make the playoffs in one, simple, nine-step process (with the help of ESPN's playoff machine).

Ready?

1. The Dolphins beat Minnesota. Hey, the Dolphins are a 7-point favorite (what is Vegas thinking?)
Miami Dolphins Offensive CoordinatorBill Lazor discusses Ryan Tannehill's improvement.
2. The Dolphins beat the Jets in what will be the Termination Bowl. Both Joe Philbin and Rex Ryan will be coaching their final games -- unless the Dolphins pull out this nine-step dance.
3. Buffalo loses at Oakland or its finale at New England. Not hard to imagine. That makes the Bills 9-7. Since the Dolphins and Bills split this year's series, the Dolphins need these endings to win the second tie-breaker of records against AFC East opponents. They're both 3-2 right now. The Dolphins would end 4-2. The Bills would be 3-3.
4. Pittsburgh loses at Kansas City and ...
5. .. against Cincinnati to finish 9-7. Both of these would probably be the way you'd pick the game.
6. Baltimore loses at Houston and ...
7. ... against Cleveland to finish 9-7. Neither of these would be the way you'd pick the games.
8. Houston must lose its finale (8) to Jacksonville and finish 8-8. A stretch. But not impossible.
9. Kansas City beats San Diego in the finale.

FootballOutsiders.com lists the percentage change of a team making the playoffs. It has the Dolphins at zero percent chance. The pessimsts. They rounded down the number.All of this allows the Dolphins to win the tie-breaker over Pittsburgh for the sixth seed based on the winning percentage of common games. Baltimore, Jacksonville and the Jets are the common opponents. Pittsburgh split with Baltimore, beat Jacksonville and lost to the Jets. They'd be 2-2. The Dolphins would be 3-1 if they beat the Jets in the final.

If you go by the mathematical multipler of the chance and consider all games being equal (no better team, no home field advantage, etc), the Dolphins chance of nine things happening is one in 512. That's a .19 percent chance of happening. Not 19 percent ... it's .19 percent chance.
Hercules had his 12 Labors.
The Dolphins have their Nine Steps. :ponder:
Click to expand...



Dolphins playoff chances: A winding, cliff-side road with no guardrail

http://www.thephinsider.com/2014/12...s-a-winding-cliff-side-road-with-no-guardrail

Buckle those seatbelts, and maybe check your brakes, this is going to be a crazy ride. I've had a couple of people ask me, since the Miami Dolphins are not yet eliminated from the NFL Playoffs, what exactly has to happen for them to make it to the postseason. After playing around on the NFL.com Playoff Predictor, the Yahoo! Sports Playoff Scenario Generator, and the ESPN Playoff Machine, I think I have the winding, bumpy, cliff-side with no guard rail, road the Dolphins must travel to land in the playoffs.

Nothing about this scenario makes it likely the Dolphins could make the postseason. I'm not trying to sell you that Miami has a clear path to January football. With that in mind, here we go:

Miami Dolphins

Current position: 3rd AFC East, 11th AFC
Current record: 7-7

What Miami needs: The Dolphins must win both of their remaining games, at home against the Minnesota Vikings followed by the New York Jets coming to South Florida.

Final Projected Record: 9-7

Pittsburgh Steelers

Current position: 2nd AFC North, 5th AFC
Current record: 9-5

What Miami needs: Pittsburgh must lose both of their remaining games, hosting Kansas City this weekend, then the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 17.

Final Projected Record: 9-7

Baltimore Ravens

Current position: 3rd NFC North, 6th AFC
Current record: 9-5

What Miami needs: Baltimore must lose both of their remaining games, at the Houston Texans and hosting the Cleveland Browns.

Final Projected Record: 9-7

Kansas City Chiefs

Current position: 2nd AFC West, 7th AFC
Current record: 8-6

What Miami needs: The Chiefs must win at Pittsburgh in Week 16 and at home to San Diego in Week 17.

Final Projected Record: 10-7

San Diego Chargers

Current position: 3rd AFC West, 8th AFC
Current record: 8-6

What Miami needs: San Diego must lose to the San Francisco 49ers in Week 16, then lose to the Chiefs in the season finale.

Final Projected Record:8-8

Buffalo Bills

Current position: 2nd AFC East, 9th AFC
Current record: 8-6

What Miami needs: Buffalo must lose at least one of their two remaining games, either at Oakland in Week 16 or at New England in Week 17. Losing both games does not eliminate Miami.

Final Projected Record: 9-7 or 8-8

Houston Texans

Current position: 2nd AFC South, 10th AFC
Current record: 7-7

What Miami needs: The Texans have to beat the Ravens in Week 16, then lose to the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 17.

Final Projected Record: 8-8

Tiebreak:

9-7 teams: Miami, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Buffalo

NFL tiebreak procedures for multiple teams uses division tie breaks to eliminate all but one team from each division. In this case, the AFC East tie break goes to the Dolphins over the Bills based on division win/loss record if the Bills lose to the Patriots or based on conference win/loss record if the Bills lose to Oakland. Pittsburgh wins the tie break over the Ravens based on division win/loss record (if Cleveland wins out and moves to 9-7, the Steelers would still win the tie break based on common games winning percentage).

After the divisions are only represented by one team, Miami wins the tie break over the Steelers based on common opponents played. The Dolphins have a 3-1 record compared to the Steelers’ 2-2 in games played against the Ravens, the Jaguars, and the Jets.

Final AFC Playoff Picture in this scenario:

1 – New England Patriots (13-3)
2 – Denver Broncos (13-3)
3 – Indianapolis Colts (12-4)
4 – Cincinnati Bengals (10-5-1)
5 – Kansas City Chiefs (10-6)
6 – Miami Dolphins (9-7)

Dolphins playoff scenario graphically:

Dolphins 2014 Week 16 playoff scenario

Dolphins_playoff_scenario.0.png
 
If Finnegan makes one freakin tackle in bounds we are in the playoffs. Not that we'd make any noise, or have a roster capable of competing in the playoffs, but that one play really stands out, and ends up being the difference between sitting at home and playing in Jan.

Truly is a game of inches.
 
oasis said:
If Finnegan makes one freakin tackle in bounds we are in the playoffs. Not that we'd make any noise, or have a roster capable of competing in the playoffs, but that one play really stands out, and ends up being the difference between sitting at home and playing in Jan.

Truly is a game of inches.
Click to expand...

If finnegan made any tackles in that game...he was awful...guess the neck was the issue
 
[video=youtube_share;yFOvldn_IRw]http://youtu.be/yFOvldn_IRw[/video]
 
Well, if rather know we're out now than lose to the Jets and get eliminated again that way.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
oasis said:
If Finnegan makes one freakin tackle in bounds we are in the playoffs. Not that we'd make any noise, or have a roster capable of competing in the playoffs, but that one play really stands out, and ends up being the difference between sitting at home and playing in Jan.

Truly is a game of inches.
Click to expand...

Or if the ball bounced the other way on that 3rd down fumble...

Or if Philbin doesn't call a timeout when GB was scrambling to get a 4th down play off...

Or if we get one damn first down on our final drive...

Or if we score a touchdown, instead of a field goal off of that short field we got off the blocked punt on the opening drive...

Or if we had Jenkins on the TE during the game's final play, instead of Wheeler...

So many inexplicable things went wrong in that game. I still don't know how we lost it. We were the better team on that day.
 
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