A look at Tua's aggresivity downfield through his first 9 games, Capt. Checkdown? | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

A look at Tua's aggresivity downfield through his first 9 games, Capt. Checkdown?

NBP81

NBP81

Its what you know for sure... that just aint so...
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I dont get alot of time to look into things this time of year but got a day off today so what the heck... One of the things that seems to pop up now and then and just got amplified by a clowns comments earlier in the week is the notion that Tua wasnt aggressive enough in his rookie season. While I havent really looked into it in a while, Im intrigued because I remember making a thread after his first 3 starts talking about how he was 15th in average air yards and 4th in average completed air yards; I'll be looking into it now and Im writing this as I go.

First here's the thread I made about it after his 3 starts

Tua after 3 games

6th in NFL in average time to throw 4th in NFL in average completed air yards 15th in intended air yards 2nd in the NFL in Aggresiveness %(pct. of attemps into tight coverage) Long story short, Tua gets rid of the ball at a top 5 rate, doesnt throw downfield more than average but compltes those...
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And here's a thread with all the charts I'll be using for this...

Tua's passing charts

There are 3 games that look very similar strategically, the last 2 games and the Denver game. I really dont think that outside of those 3 Tua has been any kind of overconservative. Matter of fact there such a big difference between those 2 sets of games that Im pretty sure there's something to...
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Week / Yards Range / #Throws

Week 8

LOS -> 5
1-10 -> 13
11-20 -> 3
21+ -> 2

22% of throws over 10 yards
8% of throws over 20 yards

Week 9

LOS -> 2
1-10 -> 12
11-20 -> 8
21+ -> 2

42% of throws over 10 yards
8% of throws over 20 yards

Week 10

LOS -> 3
1-10 -> 6
11-20 -> 11
21+ -> 3

61% of throws over 10 yards
13% of throws over 20 yards

Week 11

LOS -> 2
1-10 -> 13
11-20 -> 1
21+ -> 3

21% of throws over 10 yards
16% of throws over 20 yards

Week 13

LOS -> 5
1-10 -> 20
11-20 -> 9
21+ -> 1

29% of throws over 10 yards
3% of throws over 20 yards

Week 14

LOS -> 4
1-10 -> 23
11-20 -> 11
21+ -> 6

39% of throws over 10 yards
14% of throws over 20 yards

Week 15

LOS -> 5
1-10 -> 16
11-20 -> 4
21+ -> 0

16% of throws over 10 yards
0% of throws over 20 yards

Week 16

LOS -> 3
1-10 -> 13
11-20 -> 5
21+ -> 0

24% of throws over 10 yards
0% of throws over 20 yards

Week 17

LOS -> 10
1-10 -> 30
11-20 -> 9
21+ -> 9

31% of throws over 10 yards
16% of throws over 20 yards

-----------------------------------------------

% of throws over 10 yards through the weeks: 22 - 42 - 61 - 21 - 29 - 39 - 16 - 24 - 31
% of throws over 20 yards through the weeks: 8 - 8 - 13 - 16 - 3 - 14 - 0 - 0 - 9

Weeks where Tua attempted to throw over 10 yards the least: 8(Rams), 11(Denver), 15(NE)
Weeks where Tua attempted to throw over 20 yards the least: 13(CIN), 15(NE), 16(LV)

WRs/TEs for those games:

Rams: Parker/Williams/Ford/Grant/Hollins - Gesicki/Smythe/Shaheen
Denver: Parker/Grant/Hollins/Callaway/Perry - Gesicki/Smythe/Shaheen
NE: Callaway/Ford/Hollins/Perry/Bowden - Myarick/Smythe/Shaheen
CIN: Parker/Grant/Hollins/Callaway/Bowden - Gesicki/Smythe/Shaheen
LV: Bowden/Hollins/Ford/Grant/Perry - Gesicki/Smythe/Shaheen


Many other things could be considered before building an opinion on this like what type of games they were(leading/trailing, what type of D they were facing, OL performance...) Feel free to add to this.
 
There were so many elements working against Tua last season that it's amazing he got anything done at all. This is a different team talent wise on offense and our QB is finally healthy and mentally ready to go. Tua is cut now and has big muscles in his arms, guns if you will! Teams will realize early on that even though the offense got new weapons, the real weapon is Tua. He will punish teams this year.
 
The play calling for Fitz compared to Tua was day and night. I believe Chan was not really ready for Tua. I mean the Kid was coming off major surgery, the shortest in terms of prep offseason ever, throwing to a revolving group of injured receivers. Yet we won 10 games. We added a lot of talent on offense. The defense should be as good if not better
 
SF Dolphin Fan said:
Nice work. Certainly doesn't look like he was Captain Checkdown based on those numbers.

Any idea on league averages?
Click to expand...
Unfortunately, didnt have time to count dots for every team...lol! But if we figure that he was 15th after 3 games, we can run the math on those 3 games and establish what middle of the pack looks like and then compare that to his other games. Not very precise but still useful.
 
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