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Accuracy Breakdowns

ckparrothead

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I put this up in VIP but figured I could put it up out here as well. Just thought I would share cuz CNNSI finally came out with an update on this week's breakdown.

These are all Joey Harrington's stats, just because right now I have pretty big doubts that we're going to see Culpepper on the field any time soon.

Passes Thrown Behind Line: 21/38, 124 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
Passes Thrown 1-10 yards: 105/145, 932 yds, 5 TD, 5 INT
Passes Thrown 11-20 yards: 14/44, 233 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT
Passes Thrown 21-30 yards: 5/21, 129 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
Passes Thrown 31-40 yards: 1/6, 40 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
Passes Thrown 40+ yards: 1/1, 46 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

The only pass Harrington has thrown 40+ yards down the field was the flea-flicker against the Chiefs.

Here are the completion percentages for each of the important stat categories...

Harrington Accuracy 2006
Short (Neg to 10 yds): 68.9%
Medium (11 to 20 yds): 31.8%
Deep (Over 20 yds): 25.0%

Harrington Accuracy 2005
Short (Under 10 yds): 71.3%
Medium (11 to 20 yds): 50.0%
Deep (Over 20 yds): 34.9%

The really confusing part is that when you look at Harrington's accuracy breakdowns, he is less accurate than in 2005 in each of the categories. Yet, overall, he's completing 57.6% of his passes, which is better than his 57.0% completion in Detroit. How does that happen?

Throw selection. In 2005, even in Detroit's rinky dink west coast offense, Joey only threw 60.9% of his passes Short (under 10 yards). This year he's thrown 71.8% of his passes Short. This overweight of higher-percentage passes is inflating his accuracy percentage.

Implied in these stats is the following breakdown for the Minnesota game:

Short: 21/30, 70.0%
Medium: 4/9, 44.4%
Deep: 1/3, 33.3%

Hopefully, he can trend closer to the accuracy he had in Detroit, like he did in the Vikings game. The lack of accuracy in the medium and deep areas had been hindering the pass offense considerably. His 31.8% accuracy in the Medium segment is by far the worst in the NFL among guys who have thrown enough passes to qualify. As far as I can tell, it's the worst by about 10-12%.

What is kind of funny though is if you go ahead and stack quarterbacks by that particular percentage, completion in the 11 to 20 yard zone...you get kind of a who's who among quarterbacks, with the worst of them tending to be at the bottom.

Peyton Manning completes 73.3% of those passes. Yowsa. The only anomaly I can find is that Tom Brady is only completing 42.6% of those passes...but then again Tom is having the worst season I can remember him having in a while...New England fans are kind of stunned.
 
Great job as always CK, and even though it's not my place, I apologize for the garbage that will get thrown at you for putting this up in the general forum.
 
Nice post.

We are joking in Detroit that we hope Joey doesn't play like he did in Detroit, because he never was able to hit someone with a Lions uniform on.
 
ckparrothead said:
I put this up in VIP but figured I could put it up out here as well. Just thought I would share cuz CNNSI finally came out with an update on this week's breakdown.

These are all Joey Harrington's stats, just because right now I have pretty big doubts that we're going to see Culpepper on the field any time soon.

Passes Thrown Behind Line: 21/38, 124 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
Passes Thrown 1-10 yards: 105/145, 932 yds, 5 TD, 5 INT
Passes Thrown 11-20 yards: 14/44, 233 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT
Passes Thrown 21-30 yards: 5/21, 129 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
Passes Thrown 31-40 yards: 1/6, 40 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
Passes Thrown 40+ yards: 1/1, 46 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

The only pass Harrington has thrown 40+ yards down the field was the flea-flicker against the Chiefs.

Here are the completion percentages for each of the important stat categories...

Harrington Accuracy 2006
Short (Neg to 10 yds): 68.9%
Medium (11 to 20 yds): 31.8%
Deep (Over 20 yds): 25.0%

Harrington Accuracy 2005
Short (Under 10 yds): 71.3%
Medium (11 to 20 yds): 50.0%
Deep (Over 20 yds): 34.9%

The really confusing part is that when you look at Harrington's accuracy breakdowns, he is less accurate than in 2005 in each of the categories. Yet, overall, he's completing 57.6% of his passes, which is better than his 57.0% completion in Detroit. How does that happen?

Throw selection. In 2005, even in Detroit's rinky dink west coast offense, Joey only threw 60.9% of his passes Short (under 10 yards). This year he's thrown 71.8% of his passes Short. This overweight of higher-percentage passes is inflating his accuracy percentage.

Implied in these stats is the following breakdown for the Minnesota game:

Short: 21/30, 70.0%
Medium: 4/9, 44.4%
Deep: 1/3, 33.3%

Hopefully, he can trend closer to the accuracy he had in Detroit, like he did in the Vikings game. The lack of accuracy in the medium and deep areas had been hindering the pass offense considerably. His 31.8% accuracy in the Medium segment is by far the worst in the NFL among guys who have thrown enough passes to qualify. As far as I can tell, it's the worst by about 10-12%.

What is kind of funny though is if you go ahead and stack quarterbacks by that particular percentage, completion in the 11 to 20 yard zone...you get kind of a who's who among quarterbacks, with the worst of them tending to be at the bottom.

Peyton Manning completes 73.3% of those passes. Yowsa. The only anomaly I can find is that Tom Brady is only completing 42.6% of those passes...but then again Tom is having the worst season I can remember him having in a while...New England fans are kind of stunned.

Good to know. Now all we have to do is make sure we only throw passes of 40+ yards. :lol:
 
6 TDS in the red zone. 95.9 rating. 10th in the league. At least he's money when he gets inside the twenty. Seems he has the most problems on the opponents 39-20.
 
ckparrothead said:
This isn't a thread bashing Harrington.

If it looks like :censored:, and smells like :censored:, it's usually :censored:......

In my opinion, this thread is a mountain of it....

PHINZ RULE!!!!
 
Interesting. Harrington also ranks 8th in passing yds lost due to penalties and if you extrapolate the numbers to compensate for the 4 games he missed he would be number 1
 
[mod] Please dont circumvent the profanity filter.No points on this occasion.Edited the post [/mod]


its hilarious how harrington **** riders come here and spew the most random stats...

"on 3rd down, hes #10 in the NFL in accuracy between 4-7 yds to the left side of the hash marks"
 
EAZY 0 said:
its hilarious how harrington **** riders come here and spew the most random stats...

"on 3rd down, hes #10 in the NFL in accuracy between 4-7 yds to the left side of the hash marks"

LOL. Does have a bit of that kind of look to it. But, at the same time, Joey's red zone stats are good AND significant, and it's really the only reason he continues to be our starter. If his red zone efficiency were worse, Cleo Lemon would already be in the game.
 
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