The way I see it every team in the AFC East has decent talent but not a dominant team. All 4 teams now have good defenses and offenses that are hit and miss.
The real difference makers are the QB's. Brady takes New England and turns it into the clear top team with arguably the worst receiving corps and best OL in the division.
Miami is the clear number 2 because Tannehill is significantly better than any of the other QB's. The major question marks along the entire OL (even Albert has injury questions) may frustrate The offense, but if we get even serviceable OL play we will make the playoffs.
The Bills OL is spotty but they have an exceptional stable of RB’s and lots of talent in their young receiving corps. But, Manuel is still very raw, and both he and the WR's are young. This slides them down on my list.
The Jets have a lot of talent at RB and Decker is a good receiver, but major questions at QB and the other WR's. Their TE is soft and raw. I'm a believer in Rex Ryan as a Defensive Coordinator ... but he has yet to recruit a good Offensive Coordinator and his offenses continue to underperform.
If I had to call it, I'd say:
1. New England
2. Miami
3. New York Jets
4. Buffalo
But, that's not a very surprising prediction.