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AFC East - Predictions of the remaining schedule

catch22

catch22

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This is how I think the AFC east could go down. Miami clearly has the easiest schedule and the possibility of us winning the division is there. To do this we will likely have to win 2 of the 3 remaining divisional games. We also will be playing the last two division games on the road (and in the cold.) I may be way off on my guessing but I thought It would be fun to see all the teams remaining schedules and how good of a chance Miami has.

The number out of 100 is the percentage chance I am guessing that each given team will win or lose each game for the rest of the season. my guess is based off current standings, PF-PA stats, strength at home or away and weather(at least for Miami). I divided each teams totaled number by 700 (7 games) to get a guesstimate at their strength of schedule.

MIAMI CURRENTLY 5-4 --DIV 2-1 -- PF 188 pa 160

W 85/100- OAK
W 52/100- NE (Miami will slightly edge NE. playing at home with less injuries and having beat them on the road already)
W 75/100- @STL
L 48/100- @BUF (starting to get cold playing in buff and they should be on a win streak here)
W 80/100- SF
W 85/100- @KC
L 45/100- @NYJ (It would be nice to pull this one off. Its gunna be cold and in their house)

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE 470/700 which equals out to 67% (the higher equals easier schedule)
 MIAMI ends at 10-6 DIV 3-3 (likely wildcard)
______________________________________
NYJ CURRENTLY 6-3 --DIV 2-1 -- PF 255 PA 190

L 49/100- @NE (I think NE pulls off a narrow win at home)
L 40/100- @TEN
W 55/100- DEN
W 78/100- @SF
W 60/100- BUFF
W 75/100- @SEA W
W 55/100 -MIA

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE 412/700 – 58%
 NYJ ends at 11-5 DIV 4-2 (Wildcard)
__________________________________
NE 6-3 --DIV 2-1 --PF 188 PA 160

W 51/100- NYJ
L 48/100- @MIA
L 48/100- PIT
W 80/100- SEA
W 85/100- OAK
W 51/100-ARI
W 55/100- @BUF

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE 414/700 –59%
 NE ends at 11-5 DIV 4-2 (wins Division with tiebreaker)
______________________________________
BUFF 5-4 -- DIV 0-3 --PF 192 PA 189

W 65/100-CLE
W 70/100- @KC
W 75/100- SF
W 52/100- MIA
L 40/100- NYJ
L 45/100- @DEN
L 40/100- NE

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE 387/700-- 55%
 Buff Ends at 9-7 DIV 1/5 (misses playoffs)

What do you guys think?
 
our game @BUF is in the dome in toronto, so we got that goin for us. we just need to keep winning and improving as a team. This team of ours doesn't strike me as the perennial December flop artists of years past. I think thats where Sporano and Parcell's discipline pays off.

i think what we need is for a couple of these bottom dwellers common to teams' schedules (KC, SF, SEA, DEN) to pull off a couple wins (not against us though).

i'll certainly be watching the jets, bill, pats games closely waiting/hoping for them to falter.


and i think youre picks are reasonable, but this year has reminded us how hard it is to call games.

dolphins: 11-5 WC
W
W
W
W
W
w
L

pats: 10-6: WC
W
L
L
W
W
W
L

jets: 11-5 (win division)
L
L
W
W
W
W
W

buf: 10-6
W
w
W
L
L
L
W


after writing all that, i just noticed in your post you posted game by game W/L too. ours are actually really close.
 
The road games will be tough but this team seems more physical than last years squad.
 
Another thing to consider possibly: we havent played on turf yet, and 4 out of our 5 final games are on the carpet. should be fun to see williams and ginn running on the hard stuff, but i hope the rest of our team can make the transition.
 
Prediction: Ricky Williams runs for 150 yards vs Buffalo on the turf in Toronto, spurring local onlookers to question how the CFL could contain Ricky but the NFL cannot.
 
Miami

Oakland - Win
New England - Lose
St. Louis - Win
Buffalo - Lose
San Francisco - Win
Kansas City - Win
New York - Win

New York

New England - Lose
Tennessee - Lose
Denver - Win
San Franciso - Win
Buffalo - Lose
Seattle - Win
Miami - Lose

New England

New York - Win
Miami - Win
Pittsburgh - Lose
Seattle - Win
Oakland - Win
Arizona - Win
Buffalo - Win

Buffalo

Cleveland - Lose
Kansas City - Win
San Francisco - Win
Miami - Win
New York - Win
Denver - Lose
New England - Win

AFC East Standings

New England 12 - 4
Buffalo 10 - 6
Miami 10 - 6
New York 9 - 7
 
youre a little too high on Buffalo and NE and a little too low on the Jets..I think the Bills go 9-7 and the Jets and Patriots go 10-6
 
mandal24 said:
youre a little too high on Buffalo and NE and a little too low on the Jets..I think the Bills go 9-7 and the Jets and Patriots go 10-6
Click to expand...

If been that way all season long. I said that the Browns were a 6 - 10 team at best this season. Said the Bills were a darkhorse team and they are. Said the Titans were a lot better than anyone thought and they're actually better than I even thought. New England may not have Tom Brady but they still have Bill Belichick. The Jets...eh, maybe I'm a little bias against those gutterballs but I really don't think that they're that good. New England will beat them Thursday night and we'll have a lot to play for on the last game of the season in New York.

It's time we beat those asshats.
 
Bills are out of the race, they had an easy schedule and showed they aren't a contender this year. We only have to worry about the Jets and Pats. The pats are doing okay without Brady, but just lost Thomas as well. They're backs are depleted, and now they've got "lawfirm" running the ball. I've got a feeling this team will fall apart soon. I think it's going to be a race between us and the Jests.
 
Kubix said:
Bills are out of the race, they had an easy schedule and showed they aren't a contender this year. We only have to worry about the Jets and Pats. The pats are doing okay without Brady, but just lost Thomas as well. They're backs are depleted, and now they've got "lawfirm" running the ball. I've got a feeling this team will fall apart soon. I think it's going to be a race between us and the Jests.
Click to expand...

Yea, the Bills virtually eliminated themselves by going 0-3 in the division over the last 3 weeks. I don't care what anybody says, the Bills would have to get very lucky to make the playoffs now. They would need ALL 3 of their AFCE rivals to collapse to have a shot at anything.
 
Not true at all, Bills have a very favorable schedule . . .just like Miami does . . . they just need to do better against the division. Virtually eliminated? Nah

They have Cleveland, @ KC and San Fran the next 3 weeks, and will be favored in all 3. If they win, like expected . . . they will be 8-4 . . . going into 4 tuff weeks (all 3 division opponets and @ Denver). They can easily get things back together for that final stretch run. I wouldn't count them out yet, that Buffalo/Miami game is gonna be HUGE.
 
no chance in hell the jets win their last five games. They will be lucky to go 3-2 playing Denver @ home, then flying to west coast, then at home, then flying back to west coast, then back home. They are already 0-2 on the west coast with tough loses to powerhouses Oakland and San Diego, then having to play two division rivals right after coming from the west coast is going to be ugly for them.
 
I did this myself 2 weeks ago.. I didn't write down each win/loss but I wrote the final records down.. I came up with:
Buf 9-7
NE 10-6
Jets 9-7
Fins 10-6
 
Kdawg954 said:
Not true at all, Bills have a very favorable schedule . . .just like Miami does . . . they just need to do better against the division. Virtually eliminated? Nah

They have Cleveland, @ KC and San Fran the next 3 weeks, and will be favored in all 3. If they win, like expected . . . they will be 8-4 . . . going into 4 tuff weeks (all 3 division opponets and @ Denver). They can easily get things back together for that final stretch run. I wouldn't count them out yet, that Buffalo/Miami game is gonna be HUGE.
Click to expand...

Yea, exactly....like Miami does. The Jets and Pats have a couple easy games too.

NE plays SEA and OAK yet and the Jets play SF and SEA.

Like I said, if the rest of the division does a big collective faceplant.....te Bills coule make the playoffs. With a 0-3 division record though.....They're probably going to have have to win all 3 remaining division games to get in.....yea, good luck with that.

At the very least they need to beat NE in week 17 and either Miami or NYJ.
 
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