Looking at it from the point of view of some espn reporter, it's a real crapshoot this year i think. Bills and Jets improved last year, both now have respectable QB's. Meanwhile we had a regime change.
Me? I say Tannehill turns it up a major notch with this offense, oline, and skill players, to the 4300 yd/30+ TD range, the defense is in the top 10, and we are fighting for the AFC east come week 16 and 17.
Coach and QB.
Patriots - Brady and BB nothing will unseat them this year.
I get the feeling NE wins the division for the next 50 years and that's only b/c they've been doing it for what feels like forever. Even if Brady is out 4 games, I still see them going 2-2 or 3-1 so it won't make much difference.
Until Miami shows they have the balls to compete with the Bills and Jets, I don't even consider them a possibility at finishing anywhere other than last.
Though the division is getting better, the Dolphins, Jets and Bills have to have several breaks to push for the playoffs. As long as Brady is playing the Pats will continue to own the division. He's showing no signs of slowing down.