Even with a 39-36 loss to Denver, the Dolphins know if that if they win out — or even win four of their last five games — they will probably make the playoffs.
But what are the odds they will do that, and beat out a slew of other competitive AFC teams for a Wild Card spot?
At the moment, it’s 35 percent. That’s according to the formula of Mike Beuoy, a sports data analyst who runs the the web site Inpredictable and is a contributor to Nate Silver’s fivethirtyeight.com.
While the Dolphins odds to make the playoffs have dropped to 35 percent, they actually have better odds than two teams currently ahead of them in standings.
Largely due to a favorable schedule down the stretch, the Dolphins have the eighth-best chance to make the playoffs in the AFC.
Read more
http://dailydolphin.blog.palmbeachp...-loss-dolphins-playoff-chances-at-35-percent/
But what are the odds they will do that, and beat out a slew of other competitive AFC teams for a Wild Card spot?
At the moment, it’s 35 percent. That’s according to the formula of Mike Beuoy, a sports data analyst who runs the the web site Inpredictable and is a contributor to Nate Silver’s fivethirtyeight.com.
While the Dolphins odds to make the playoffs have dropped to 35 percent, they actually have better odds than two teams currently ahead of them in standings.
Largely due to a favorable schedule down the stretch, the Dolphins have the eighth-best chance to make the playoffs in the AFC.
Read more
http://dailydolphin.blog.palmbeachp...-loss-dolphins-playoff-chances-at-35-percent/