------- Analysis: Miami playoff chances: 29% | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

------- Analysis: Miami playoff chances: 29%

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Mile High Fin

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This site is the best around to analyze various teams' playoff chances and scenarios:

http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/afcstandings.html

Currently, our odds of making playoffs are 29% (no playoffs 71%).
If we win @ Jax, our odds will improve to 49% (no playoffs 51%).
If we lose @ Jax, our odds will drop to 17% (no playoffs 83%).


On this page, they show our playoff odds if we finish with various records:
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/dolphinswhatif.html
10-6 : 97% playoffs
9-7 : 58% playoffs
8-8 : 15% playoffs
 
Mile High Fin said:
This site is the best around to analyze various teams' playoff chances and scenarios:

http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/afcstandings.html

Currently, our odds of making playoffs are 29% (no playoffs 71%).
If we win @ Jax, our odds will improve to 49% (no playoffs 51%).
If we lose @ Jax, our odds will drop to 17% (no playoffs 83%).


On this page, they show our playoff odds if we finish with various records:
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/dolphinswhatif.html
10-6 : 97% playoffs
9-7 : 58% playoffs
8-8 : 15% playoffs
Click to expand...

I think we should wait for this until after the game tonight, the odds would change would they not?
 
I'm not really into the 'odds' so much. I am thankful we are playing the next 4 opponents, who are direct competition for at least a Wild Card spot. It's gonna come down to if we blow our own season.
 
With the Ravens loss yesterday, we only picked up 1 percentage pojnt
 
We are pretty much at the same position we were last year, I just wish we played the Pats on week 17...
 
we have a good chance the way I see it as long as we win out, Jacksonville plays us, Indy and NE they will lose two maybe even 3 of those. so count them out. Steelers only have to lose to us which will happen if we win out of course. only team in our way for that wildcard spot is the Ravens and I think the Steelers win that game with Big Ben at QB instead of Dixon who was their QB last time they played them.

of course none of this matters if we dont win out and obviously we want to win our divison so we need the Pats to lose just 1 game and that can happen
 
I am counting the Jets out and Jags out!

And, the game against Jaguars IS SO IMPORTANT must win this BABY!!!


Pats look like have a very easy schedule for them, so doubt they will lose that many
 
Well of course the % goes up if you win and down if you lose. That's why %'s are idiotic. Just b/c you have a great chance to make it now doesn't mean you will when the season is over
 
Interesting number. Sounds about right.

BTW, this reminds me of the goofs at ProFootballOutsiders.com, who declared it was a 54% favorite that the Dolphins would win exactly 4-6 games. They need a complete washout merely to hit the low number. Their theme was sensible, a bounce downward from 2008, but they forced it on the low end and more than 50% likelihood of that precise range was a reach, as I posted at the time.
 
What's the percentage if New England and Denver both lose today and Miami wins?
 
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