Terrific game. I was incredibly envious as a Canes fan. Very smart and aggressive defenses, much better than Miami's. We don't threaten to penetrate or disrupt like TCU, or tackle or make clutch INTs like Boise State. Both teams destroyed the short cute pass plays, which is always a sign of well coached.
You could tell that playing each other last year had a major impact on the game. I couldn't believe the over/under was so high, due to that factor. These are very resourceful teams and were ready for each other's bread and butter.
I have no idea how TCU was such a big favorite. I played Boise State plus the points and on the money line. The game fit a system I've mentioned on this site and many other sites for years: Bet Any College Bowl Underdog if it was Higher Rated than its Opponent in The Sporting News Preseason Magazine.
That system is my baby, purely homemade. It was scoffed at a decade ago when I started mentioning it to friends in Las Vegas, and some message board posters assailed it a few years ago. No one wants to believe in preseason ratings. Meanwhile, they are the truth and the light. The teams disperse into their little conferences and reality is obscured. The system asserts that regular season results basically mean nothing. I've always believed in that type of thing, that everything drifts back to the beginning.
The system has struggled to find a loser in recent seasons. It's merely the disguised superior team, winning as it should. Now 5-0 against the spread this year with 3 outright upsets and 2 covers.
One game remaining: Texas plus the points against Alabama. I took +5, now it's as low as +3.5, but generally +4.
Sporting News had Boise State #14, TCU #24. Texas was #2 compared to Alabama #13.