Breaking down the Dolphins bye history | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Breaking down the Dolphins bye history

Daytona Fin

Daytona Fin

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Breaking down the Dolphins’ bye history, the first thing that jumps out is that the last time they went into their off week with a 2-2 record the opponents the following game were the Green Bay Packers.

It’s the exact same scenario this year, and the Dolphins can only hope for a similar result as 2010 when they returned from their bye with a 23-20 overtime victory at Lambeau Field.

If you believe in omens, here’s another encouraging bye stat for the Dolphins: Miami has alternated wins and losses after its bye for the past nine seasons, starting with a 20-14 loss against the Buffalo Bills in 2005.

If the trend continues, that means the Dolphins will win because they’re coming off a post-bye loss in 2013, also against the Buffalo Bills, this time by the score of 23-21.
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Since the NFL first started including byes in the regular season schedule in 1990 — each team had two byes in the 1993 season — the Dolphins have a 14-11 record following their off week. That includes a perfect 7-0 record under Hall of Fame coach Don Shula.

This year will mark the third time the Dolphins come out of their bye with a 2-2 record. Along with 2010, it also happened in 1997 and they also won their first post-bye game that season, beating the Kansas City Chiefs 17-14.

In yet another good statistical sign for the Dolphins, they have a perfect 5-0 record coming off the bye when they have gone into their break with a .500 record. That includes the 1992 season when the Dolphins beat the Cleveland Browns, 27-23, in a Monday night game in Week 2 after their opener against New England was pushed back because of the impact of Hurricane Andrew (the Patriots and Dolphins originally had the same bye week, so their game in Miami was moved to that date).
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But how significant is the first game after the bye? The Dolphins have made the playoffs 10 times since the byes began and they won coming off their bye seven times in those 10 seasons (in 1990, 1992, 1994, 1995, 1997, 2001 and 2008).

The Dolphins have won heading into the bye and in their first game after the bye seven times (1990, 1993, 1994, 1995, 2003, 2008, 2012) and made the playoffs four of those seasons. And they finished with a winning record in two of the three non-playoff seasons, in 1993 and 2003.

Here is the Dolphins’ complete bye history, with their record heading into the bye and the result of their first post-bye game:
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http://www.miamidolphins.com/news/a...37d?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter
 
The one crappy thing is that since the pack played on Thursday we do not have that much of a rest/gameplanning advantage over them.
 
Dolphins finally have a chance to get a win against a quality opponent. The Bills have two wins against the Lions and Bears (who are better than their record indicates) and the Pats just got one against the Bengals. This is where we see if the Phins can run with the big boys, or we can just shut down our expectations for yet another year.

My opinion? We are going to need to see Jones, Delmas/Thomas, Grimes, and Finnegan each play the game of their lives to keep this one within striking distance, and for Tannehill to put together back to back solid weeks. It could happen, but safe money isn't on it.
 
History lesson: I-n-t-e-r-e-s-t-i-n-g !!!!!!

Since 2005, the Dolphins have alternated wins and losses after the bye, which means good news if the patterns continues this year.

2014- Green Bay Packers ?
2013-- Buffalo Bills, L 21-23
2012 - at New York Jets, W 30-9
2011 — at New York Jets, L 6-24
2010 — at Green Bay, W 23-20 (OT)
2009 — New Orleans, L 34-46
2008 — San Diego, W 17-10
2007 — Buffalo, L 10-13
2006 — at Chicago, W 31-13
2005 — at Buffalo, L 14-20

Can you see the pattern ? More good news, team is getting healthy, Pouncy, Misi, McCain and Jones. Ugh!!! Means nor more jimmy wilson and Trusnik, aka defensive weak links. Gooder news Knowshon could/ might be ready to play. Besides, the Packers aren't as good outside of Lambaeu.
 
Sorry, I didn't see it already posted.
 
trojanma said:
The one crappy thing is that since the pack played on Thursday we do not have that much of a rest/gameplanning advantage over them.
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Agreed. Really only a few day jump. Do that have mandatory rest for their players too on a 10 day "rest?" If not then we really don't have that huge of an advantage other than health.
 
I don't see why everyone is acting like gb is nearly unbeatable. Their defense is pretty bad and their offense isn't quite what it has been in recent years. I think green bay is imo somewhere around #10 in the nfl overall. I'd put us at around 14-16. Plus we play at home. Green bay has always allowed a lot of sacks of rodgers and he does struggle just like all the others when he gets hit a lot. We just have to avoid letting Rodgers extend plays and not allow any long td's . Getting pressure with just four guys is gonna be crucial, but I don't see this game as being one that everyone has to have a career game just for us to not get blown out. Its not the Broncos or the Seahawks.
 
Don't bet the farm on Stats. Anything can happen on any given day or time. This is simple fortune telling. The fact that we have players returning makes my adrenalin pump. Also never count Rogers out . He can surgically decapitate a team. Oh and one other thing will the productive RT come out to play????
fisi said:
Since 2005, the Dolphins have alternated wins and losses after the bye, which means good news if the patterns continues this year.

2014- Green Bay Packers ?
2013-- Buffalo Bills, L 21-23
2012 - at New York Jets, W 30-9
2011 — at New York Jets, L 6-24
2010 — at Green Bay, W 23-20 (OT)
2009 — New Orleans, L 34-46
2008 — San Diego, W 17-10
2007 — Buffalo, L 10-13
2006 — at Chicago, W 31-13
2005 — at Buffalo, L 14-20

Can you see the pattern ? More good news, team is getting healthy, Pouncy, Misi, McCain and Jones. Ugh!!! Means nor more jimmy wilson and Trusnik, aka defensive weak links. Gooder news Knowshon could/ might be ready to play. Besides, the Packers aren't as good outside of Lambaeu.
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EndZoneOnly said:
Don't bet the farm on Stats. Anything can happen on any given day or time. This is simple fortune telling. The fact that we have players returning makes my adrenalin pump. Also never count Rogers out . He can surgically decapitate a team. Oh and one other thing will the productive RT come out to play????
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Not a bettor anyways!
 
Last time we played the Pack, we beat them at their place in OT...and that was with Henne at QB and Sparano coaching us. Of course, they went on the win the Super Bowl, but that's another story. :lol:
 
Interesting story, but patterns are always broken. I always laugh when I hear some of these selective patterns pointed out in the sports world. Since 2005 (see what they did there) team A has beaten a team with a green uniform on Thursday night when the quarterback has black shoelaces... who come up with these stats???? hahahaha
 
I think in general, teams who are playing on the road dont look as hot as when just playing at home in a blowout.

Rogers doesnt know us much but will be much better in second half.

If we win the LOS on both sides, we win. Thats just how I see it. unless we fumble the ball 3 times all bets off.

---------- Post added at 11:24 PM ---------- Previous post was at 11:24 PM ----------
CalDolFan1014 said:
Last time we played the Pack, we beat them at their place in OT...and that was with Henne at QB and Sparano coaching us. Of course, they went on the win the Super Bowl, but that's another story. :lol:
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as I recall they also were missing like 10 key players.
 
If our QB and the front 4 play well, we can take this. Otherwise, no chance. I do believe we can take this
 
We are 3 pt home dogs and I think that is about right. But this would not be some big upset if we won. The only reason we are underdogs is because we are so hard to figure out. One week we are good, next week we are terrible. I would like to think a lot of that is because we are using a new offense and we have a lot of new players because of injuries. Now that we are getting a lot of our players back and have a few weeks to get used to the offense I am hoping we start getting more consistent.

This one of the least important games in the standings but a very important game to the moral of the team and fans.
Overall offense:
Miami 15th
G.Bay 28th

Rush Offense
Miami 5th
G.Bay 25th

Pass Offense:
Miami 23rd
G.Bay 18th

Overall Defense:
Miami 7th
G.Bay 22nd

Rush Defense
Miami 14th
G.Bay 32nd (DEAD LAST, nearly 200 behind 31st. If they held us to 0 yds rushing they would still be in last place)

Pass Defense
Miami 9th
G.Bay 6th

We need to run the ball at them early and often in the Miami heat and take care of the ball and this is our game. They really are not as good as they looked Thursday night.
 
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