I personally wouldn't touch Jordan Palmer, Trent Edwards, or Tyler Palko...not even in the 6th or 7th rounds.
Brian Brohm is looking more and more likely to stay in school every day, with Jamarcus Russell stealing his thunder among scouts, Mario Urrutia now leaning toward sticking around, and Brian's red hot burgeoning relationship with Harry Douglas.
On the other hand, Colt Brennan looks like he is coming out and that guy has incredible tools. If someone lets him drop too far just because of June Jones' offense, I feel extremely comfortable picking him up. But, I don't think that's going to happen either.
The guy who is most likely to drop is Troy Smith. The inside word is that the guy's character is just not where you want it. He may be incident free the last year and a half to two years, but that doesn't mean he hasn't stopped hanging out with the wrong crowd or being tabbed as arrogant off the field. As a field prospect, he's as good a QB as you'll find. But he doesn't have the height you want, and the character is going to keep getting driven home on him until he ends up going later than he should.
Especially in light of Jamarcus Russell's extremely rapid ascent (I'm hearing top 10 status being bandied about for him), Colt Brennan's decision to come out, and Brady Quinn's perch position at the top of the draft as almost a sure fire lock to become a Detroit Lion. Heck, it even fits, as his nickname amongst treammates is "Blue Steel".
We'll have to see how the teams are shaking out. One look at the pro bowl squads tells ya that this has been a bad year for QBs. Some normally very stable quality names have performed like crap this year, from Jake Delhomme to Ben Roethlisberger, to Matt Hasselbeck. Byron Leftwich appears ready to be run out of town, Atlanta's getting fed up with Mike Vick, there's even now talk in Philly about the Eagles pulling a "Minnesota" on McNabb with the ancient Jeff Garcia coming in and winning them games like the ancient Brad Johnson did for a struggling Culpepper. David Carr may have worn out his welcome. Folks in Cleveland had better start rethinking their Charlie Frye expectations.
So, an influx of four first round caliber QBs, maybe five if Brohm declares, could be just what the doctor ordered for a QB-parched NFL. Or, the NFL could fool themselves into thinking two or three of them are not worthy of first round picks.
Keep a close eye on John Beck though. His draft stock has been strapped to a jetpack and he's shooting sky high. He had already been evaluated as a bonafied first day pick by NFL scouts before the end of the season.
1. Brady Quinn
2. Brian Brohm (if he comes out, which he probably won't)
3. Colt Brennan
4. Jamarcus Russell
5. Troy Smith (pending better info on character issues)
6. John Beck
7. Drew Stanton
8. Andre Woodson (junior, seriously thinking about coming out)
9. Kevin Kolb
10. Lester Ricard
11. Jeff Rowe
12. Tyler Palko
13. Trent Edwards
14. Jeff Ballard
15. Matt Moore
16. Jordan Palmer