Remember that the only FA signings that count are those of players whose contract was simply expired, either if the were lost or acquired. Any player cut or waived by another team does not count in this formula.
That said, in 2009 the Phins signed: Jake Grove, Joe Berger & Eric Green.
Gibril Wilson does NOT count because he was let go by the Raiders.
In 2009, other teams singed the following players who were Phins FAs:
Andre Goodman, Renaldo Hill (Denver) and Al Johnson (NE).
David Martin does not count because he was waived and nobody signed him up.
Now, we have got a tie here, 3 lost against 3 singed. However other factors enter the equation, like snaps played, position on the depth chart, value of contract and there's also a date where the player has got to be still with the team, to enter the equation.
Although I do not know all these details, I *think* that a late compensatory pick could be a fair forecast, like a 7th or hopefully a 6th.
Now, is it too much to hope for the next Tom Brady? or Yeremiah Bell? or even the next Donald thomas? The next Lex Hilliard would be pretty fine too, if you think what it may be on the flip side .....