Reports out of the Miami Dolphins offseason program are that QB Ryan Tannehill is struggling with his accuracy. New head coach Adam Gase affirmed this saying that while Tannehill has made some “impressive” throws, he’s been inconsistent with his ball placement and he hasn’t been on the same page as his receivers as they learn a new offense.
Since being drafted in the first round by the Dolphins, Tannehill has been middle-of-the-road in terms of his adjusted completion percentage – 17[SUP]th[/SUP] in 2012, 26[SUP]th[/SUP] in 2013, 7[SUP]th[/SUP] in 2014, and 19[SUP]th[/SUP] in 2015. His 2014 season leap was a big reason the Dolphins were a popular pick to make the playoffs in 2015, but the team as a whole struggled and that led to coaching turnover.
Looking a little further at the numbers, perhaps Tannehill’s perceived improvement in 2014 came because he was throwing fewer passes downfield and more passes short. With an average depth of target of 8.8 in 2012, 9.6 in 2013, 8.2 in 2014, and 8.9 in 2015, you can see that his 2014 jump was a product of capitalizing on connecting on easy, short throws that every NFL QB makes.
So does Tannehill have an accuracy problem? Not really. He struggles with the deep ball and that shows up in both his deep passing adjusted completion percentage (averages about 37.5 percent for 22[SUP]nd[/SUP] in the league) but he has good ball placement on short throws. Gase would be wise to tailor a system for Tannehill to take advantage of his strengths and limit his weaknesses. That seems like such a simple concept but NFL coaches tend to be a bit stubborn in terms of making their players fit their system instead of making their system fit their players. When viewing Tannehill’s career grades, perhaps a coaching change will be able to reverse the downward trend and with Jay Cutler’s notable improvement under Gase’s tutelage that Dolphins’ fans can look towards for hope.