Devante Parker Metrics | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Devante Parker Metrics

It was a bunch of mumbo jumbo even for me, and I'm a stats guy, but the conclusion is exciting.
 
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Yeah no explanation of what any of the numbers are. He even names off a few domination ratings that aren't even listed on the list. I don't get wtf he's talking about lol.
 
Live in upstate ny basically bills country few of my friends saying we still don't have a number 1 and doesn't compare anything to Sammy Watkins. What u guys think ?
 
bess15 said:
Live in upstate ny basically bills country few of my friends saying we still don't have a number 1 and doesn't compare anything to Sammy Watkins. What u guys think ?
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I wouldn't trust the average Bills fan to be unbiased, just like I wouldn't trust the average Dolphins fan to be unbiased.
 
JC said:
I wouldn't trust the average Bills fan to be unbiased, just like I wouldn't trust the average Dolphins fan to be unbiased.
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I wouldn't trust the average Bills fan to be able to read, let alone be informed lol
 
bess15 said:
Live in upstate ny basically bills country few of my friends saying we still don't have a number 1 and doesn't compare anything to Sammy Watkins. What u guys think ?
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Hard to argue but it's not necessarily a negative assessment.

Not saying that Parker is or isn't a #1 WR but our offensive scheme doesn't require one in the traditional sense. What he does provide is a skill set that we didn't previously have on our roster; he's a true red zone threat.

Also, Watkins is an exceptional all-around WR and fits the mold of a traditional #1 WR for the Bills.
 
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I don't know if Parker will be a so called number one receiver or not, but I think I would rather have a good number two receiver and Ryan Tannehill than a number one receiver and Matt Cassel and EJ Manuel.
 
roy_miami said:
It was a bunch of mumbo jumbo even for me, and I'm a stats guy, but the conclusion is exciting.
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Same. I appreciate that it was done in March, and not by a Dolphin fan after the selection. I also liked that he called Melvin Gordon ridiculously underrated. That applies some credibility.

He started to lose me once he mentioned fantasy drafts. I hope that wasn't fantasy focused.

More than anything, that article made me appreciate the Seattle metric sites I've been sampling lately. Those guys offer enough summary and easy to understand concepts that you can jump right in at any point, unlike this article where I felt like I needed at least 5 prior links to have any clue what they were talking about.
 
It is a fantasy based comparison, the author makes no bones about it by listing links for support at the top of the site. That being said I would like to see what numbers go into his formulas for each area:

1.A quick note on methodology. My research suggests you will be very accurate in gauging the likelihood of prospect’s NFL success if you only know three items: final season Dominator Rating, breakout age, and Freak Score. You can be slightly more accurate if you take a more granular approach to age-adjusted production and perhaps gain a little from peeking at the explosion measures. Beyond that, you quickly get less accurate by taking a wide variety of stylistic information into your evaluation There’s plenty of evidence beyond football to suggest this is the case, but I make that point simply to explain my approach, not with the intention of converting others. I wouldn’t want all analysts to use the same approach, and the natural competition of ideas creates a more constructive environment than would exist if we all approached this project in exactly the same way
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His methodology appears to be sound but I would need to find a link to his formulas to be certain. A quick Google search of Shawn Siegele yielded some info on the topic on a website that isn't a subscription based site:

Dominator Rating

If you’ve read the Fantasy Douche’s excellent book, Game Plan, you know he’s got a lot of intriguing ideas for improving NFL decision-making through the use of statistical analysis. One of my favorites is the suggestion that market share of collegiate yards and TDs is a better barometer of future performance than raw yardage and TD numbers. For the time being, I’m referring to this as the Dominator Rating, not only because players who excel in this metric have been dominant players in college but because they dominated the looks on their own teams.

In terms of predicting NFL success, any number over .50 – which roughly corresponds to having caught 50% of your team’s yards and TDs – projects as an NFL superstar or Top 10 overall pick value. .45-.50 is excellent (roughly Top 15 pick value), .40-.45 very good (Top 20 pick), .35-.40 (late first, early second), .30-35 (second round to third round), below .30 (middle round pick). Of course, DR in isolation only provides part of the picture. Almost equally important is the receiver’s physical profile.


http://moneyinthebananastand.com/20...t-adjusted-speed-score-and-wr-draft-rankings/
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Again this is fantasy based in nature but his formulas have some merit, I would like to see how is metrics predicted the breakout wide receivers of 2014, unfortunately I cannot view the article without a subscription. However his evaluations of some of the receivers of in the linked write-up case doubt on his metrics.
 
bess15 said:
Live in upstate ny basically bills country few of my friends saying we still don't have a number 1 and doesn't compare anything to Sammy Watkins. What u guys think ?
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I think you should kick your friend in the taint.
 
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