We were hot, then cold. Then hot again to give us all hope for the playoffs and then a huge let down. The BS from the NFL investigations and then some big injuries did us in. I think a healthy team that didnt have to suffer through "Martingate" would have got us 10 wins, if not 11. I think we lost more close ones than we won.
Depends on the bar. Right before the start of the season, Vegas had us at 6.5 wins. If they'd somehow had a way of knowing how the locker room would implode, no way do they have us at 6.5...probably 5. This year, Vegas has us at 8, so if we do as well against Vegas as we did last year, we're talking playoffs. I don't see how we can do worse...unless we have another major locker room issue and/or decimated with injuries.
Still, we should have taken 1 of the last 2...Tanny / Hartline injuries certainly didn't help that. But we also should have beaten NE twice, Baltimore, and Carolina, IMHO.
So compared to Vegas' expectations, we over-performed...compared to OUR expectations, underperformed. Right in line with the normal fan expectancies.
IMHO, we over-perform this year compared to both. Our schedule is basically the same as it is every year...no way to know if it's tougher or easier at this point. It's a 3rd place slate, playing an AFC West division that sent 3 to the playoffs last year (and will only see the Broncos go this year), NFC North (Green Bay, Chicago, and who?), our division, and 2 other 3rd place teams (Baltimore and Jacksonville). I like our chances at a Wildcard...but I haven't given up the division yet (don't need disagreement here...'cuz I don't care).
Being Jacksonville and having their schedule...that may be considered tough.