What do you think reggies new role on the team is more carries ?? Less ?? Or would whoever philbin brings in use him like they did in NO... Thoughts???
New Orleans was an incomparable waste. I always thought Reggie had grounds for a lawsuit. They'd give up if his first handful of touches were unproductive, particularly on the road, and spend the remainder of the game sending him on mindless sideways decoy roles.
The biggest mistake I saw many analysts make last offseason was asserting that if Sean Payton couldn't figure out what to do with Reggie Bush, then nobody could. It was exactly the opposite. Miami was fortunate that somebody like Belichick didn't realize how poorly the Saints used Reggie.
Granted, I'll squawk now because I happened to get this one correct, posting on the Miami board on Rivals.com early last August that Reggie was the Dolphins' most talented skill position acquisition since Paul Warfield and would have a breakout year. Not exactly a difficult handicap. He was finally back at a warm weather home outdoor site, with a grass field, and plenty of I formation. Sound familiar? USC. It's like a horse race where you throw out the most recent irrelevant outings and find a winning race six months or a year earlier that mirrored the current scenario.
In 30 years evaluating stats, the single most meaningless and misleading number I've ever seen was Reggie Bush averaging 3.3 yards on grass as a Saint.
In 2012 I'd like to see more downfield routes, including out of the slot. He still hasn't been used in that mode as a pro as much as Carroll and Leinart did at USC, where he averaged 13.7 yards per reception. Conventional wisdom is those were dump off catch and run routes against overmatched defenses but anyone who followed it at the time remembers Reggie bursting past linebackers and making grabs in the secondary. We showed glimpses of figuring it out late last season. You have to be bold with a talent like that.
Regardless, Reggie won't be as effective in 2012, nothing resembling 5.0 yards per rush. Too many burst plays, defying probability in terms of a repeat. Besides, after an 0-7 start, or similar, you apply a modifier of at least 10-15% in meaningless games. Not merely game results, but individual player indications. I warned about that a few years ago in regard to Nate Garner, that anything he did late season while closing out the string couldn't be taken at face value toward a starting role the following year. Identical for John Jerry this time. It's more difficult to explain than to sense, after 25+ years as a handicapper.
Matt Moore fits also, all the traits that made him a backup sprouting to the forefront.