ckparrothead
Premium Member
I don't usually bet on Dolphins win totals.
But I did well for myself last year on win totals. There were a few win totals that were just way, way too high.
No win total stood out to me more than the Cardinals' win total. It was something insane like 7. I mean, really? I didn't take that line thinking they were going to win 6 or 7 games. I took that line thinking there's a fair chance they only win 3 games. Even when they rattled off 4 games in a row to start the year, I looked at the games, I looked at the schedule, and I remained confident in the bet. They were going to be lucky to win 2 more games all year, but they certainly weren't winning 3 more games.
The Jets over/under was also set insanely high. The team was clearly eating itself, and MARK SANCHEZ was their freakin quarterback. Yeah, like HE was going to keep a steady hand amid the chaos. Sure. LOL. The over/under was set at something insane like 8.5 wins. It was the easiest money I could make all year, aside from the Cardinals bet.
The one I had confidence in for the over was the Seahawks. I forget what the over/under was at, I think 7 wins, but I also bet them to make the playoffs and that paid nicely too. I just though this was a solid team that gets it, as far as how to invest and build a winning team. I had confidence. Not quite the same confidence as the unders on the Jets and Cardinals, but still confidence.
The one bet I lost on the over/unders was the Redskins. What can I say, I got RG3'd. I had an evaluation of him coming out that the Shanahans might not be very quick to adapt their offensive game plan and style to his strengths, and that was DEAD wrong. They created a new offense for him. Everything I'd heard about them prior had led me to believe they were obtusde about how they do things. But they changed a LOT in RG3's favor. Aside from that I thought RG3 would get hurt. He did, but not soon enough. The Shanahans' situation heading into that year just seemed to be on a real chaotic downslope too. I just saw so many risk factors and I was wrong about it. Chalk it up. Wasn't nearly as high confidence a pick as the Jets or Cardinals unders. About the same level as the Seahawks over. So it didn't hurt my bottom line much.
I wasn't inclined toward the Dolphins at 7.5 because I had them at 7-9 for the year and that's too close a margin.
I really want to say that I took the Chiefs at under 8 wins. I can't remember. I know the ones I felt strongly about were the Cardinals, Jets, Seahawks and Redskins but I think I may have also gone under on the Chiefs.
But I did well for myself last year on win totals. There were a few win totals that were just way, way too high.
No win total stood out to me more than the Cardinals' win total. It was something insane like 7. I mean, really? I didn't take that line thinking they were going to win 6 or 7 games. I took that line thinking there's a fair chance they only win 3 games. Even when they rattled off 4 games in a row to start the year, I looked at the games, I looked at the schedule, and I remained confident in the bet. They were going to be lucky to win 2 more games all year, but they certainly weren't winning 3 more games.
The Jets over/under was also set insanely high. The team was clearly eating itself, and MARK SANCHEZ was their freakin quarterback. Yeah, like HE was going to keep a steady hand amid the chaos. Sure. LOL. The over/under was set at something insane like 8.5 wins. It was the easiest money I could make all year, aside from the Cardinals bet.
The one I had confidence in for the over was the Seahawks. I forget what the over/under was at, I think 7 wins, but I also bet them to make the playoffs and that paid nicely too. I just though this was a solid team that gets it, as far as how to invest and build a winning team. I had confidence. Not quite the same confidence as the unders on the Jets and Cardinals, but still confidence.
The one bet I lost on the over/unders was the Redskins. What can I say, I got RG3'd. I had an evaluation of him coming out that the Shanahans might not be very quick to adapt their offensive game plan and style to his strengths, and that was DEAD wrong. They created a new offense for him. Everything I'd heard about them prior had led me to believe they were obtusde about how they do things. But they changed a LOT in RG3's favor. Aside from that I thought RG3 would get hurt. He did, but not soon enough. The Shanahans' situation heading into that year just seemed to be on a real chaotic downslope too. I just saw so many risk factors and I was wrong about it. Chalk it up. Wasn't nearly as high confidence a pick as the Jets or Cardinals unders. About the same level as the Seahawks over. So it didn't hurt my bottom line much.
I wasn't inclined toward the Dolphins at 7.5 because I had them at 7-9 for the year and that's too close a margin.
I really want to say that I took the Chiefs at under 8 wins. I can't remember. I know the ones I felt strongly about were the Cardinals, Jets, Seahawks and Redskins but I think I may have also gone under on the Chiefs.