"Worst move of the century" - sounds like it needs it's own thread, lots of subject matter there.
Here’s their top 4 worst moves this century…anyone noticing a trend? Trading for and resigning veteran QBs seems to be the kiss of death.
Biggest mistake: Trading
three first-round picks to move up for
Trey Lance (2021)
49ers fans probably won't be surprised at my pick. I've repeatedly written
in defense of the 49ers taking a big swing on Lance's upside given their roster construction and the limitations, injury history and contract afforded
Jimmy Garoppolo. But this turned out terribly. The 49ers have enjoyed the benefits of having an excellent quarterback on a rookie deal over the past few seasons, but it has been through seventh-round pick
Brock Purdy, not Lance.
Whatever logic there might have been in making the move, there's no way to treat it as anything but a failure after the fact. The 49ers gave up three first-round picks to move up to No. 3 in the 2021 draft; their selection eventually went to the Cowboys and became
Micah Parsons. The Dolphins used the picks the 49ers sent as part of swaps that added
Jaylen Waddle,
Tyreek Hill and
Bradley Chubb to their roster. The missing cost-controlled talent San Francisco lost as part of the Lance and
Christian McCaffrey deals turned into meaningful roles for
Logan Ryan and
Oren Burks in
Super Bowl LVIII and
Isaac Yiadom and
De'Vondre Campbell this season. It will only hurt more as Purdy earns a
massive raise this offseason.
Compared with the moves ahead of Lance on this list, though, salary alone makes this a less painful deal. The 49ers paid Lance only $27.3 million for his two-plus seasons. That's too much, but it's way less than the teams ahead of them on this list shelled out for their quarterbacks in similarly sized swaps.
Biggest mistake: Trading for
Aaron Rodgers (2023)
This could just as easily be drafting
Zach Wilson ahead of
Ja'Marr Chase,
Penei Sewell,
Pat Surtain,
DeVonta Smith and
Micah Parsons in the top 12 of the
2021 draft. There are also other failed Jets free agent signings and nearly inexplicable trades to consider.
The
Rodgers trade stands head and shoulders above the rest because it came with so much baggage. Trading for him made the Jets
hire Nathaniel Hackett as offensive coordinator. It
led them to sign
Randall Cobb and
Allen Lazard as free agents and bring on
Tim Boyle as
a backup quarterback. The
trade for
Davante Adams wouldn't have happened if the Jets weren't doing whatever they could to try to kick-start a moribund offense with Rodgers' old friend from Green Bay.
On top of that, the Jets moved down two spots in the first round of the 2023 draft and sent a pair of second-round picks to the Packers to acquire Rodgers, only avoiding shipping off a first-round pick because Rodgers
suffered a torn Achilles four snaps into his debut season in New York. He also took a pay cut of nearly $34 million after the trade, a move that might count as the best thing he did for the organization.
The Jets gave up two Day 2 picks and paid $75 million for a quarterback who missed almost all of his first season with the team before posting a 53.9
QBR in his second season, a mark that ranks 22nd among all quarterbacks. Fans of this franchise might not have seen this coming, but Rodgers ranked 26th in his final season with the Packers, and the idea he was anything short of a major risk was
always short-sighted. No one could have anticipated just how poorly this trade would go, but the Jets have a worse winning percentage with Rodgers (.333) than they did with Wilson (.364) as the starter.
Biggest mistake: Trading for (and
extending)
Russell Wilson (2022)
I liked the decision to
trade for Wilson at the time, but you don't need me to explain how it panned out. The Broncos sent
two first-round picks, two second-round picks and three players to the Seahawks in the deal. The two first-rounders alone turned into cornerstones in left tackle
Charles Cross and cornerback
Devon Witherspoon.
Derick Hall and
Boye Mafe, the two second-rounders, have flashed up front on defense.
On top of that, the Broncos gave Wilson a massive extension after completing the deal. They ended up paying about $123 million for two years with Wilson under center,
moving on after last season to avoid triggering another $37 million in guarantees for the 2025 campaign. He wasn't terrible during his time with the Broncos, but he also didn't look nearly as dynamic or creative as he was in Seattle. The Broncos are now
quite happy with rookie passer
Bo Nix, and Wilson has
found a new home in Pittsburgh.
Biggest mistake: Trading for
Deshaun Watson and signing him to a five-year,
$230 million contract(2022)
What else could it be? In addition to the decision to build the franchise around a player who had been accused of more than
20 cases of
sexual assault and
inappropriate conduct, the Browns paid a spectacular premium to acquire the quarterback from the Texans. After Watson's camp initially
removed the Brownsfrom the running, Cleveland responded by giving Watson a fully guaranteed deal worth $230 million, which included
financial protections if he were to be suspended by the league, as he would be for a large part of the
2022 campaign.
The Browns also sent three first-round picks to the Texans as the bulk of the package to acquire Watson, with Houston using those selections to move around the draft and revitalize its organization. By my estimate, Cleveland spent
more than $300 millionbetween cash and draft capital to acquire him. It also
let go of
Baker Mayfield, who has been a
competent starter at a fraction of that cost for the Buccaneers since the start of last season.
In return, the Browns landed a quarterback who ranked last in
QBR across his 19 starts with them. Watson was overseeing one of the
worst offenses in league history this season before
tearing his Achilles in October. The team is still
on the hook for more than $90 million in guaranteed money after this season. It's difficult to imagine how a trade could go any worse than this deal has for Cleveland.
Every NFL team has made at least one terrible roster or coaching decision in the past five years. We ranked 32 from least to most damaging.
www.espn.com