CK, I value what you have to say very highly, most of the time. This is not one of those times.
Many of your statistics rely on the fact that rapes go unreported. That has no bearing on the system. If the system does not know about the rape, the system cannot take action. Not to tear through your statistics but you really think assault or battery are not more underreported than rape? Every verbal threat is an assault and every fight is battery. There are so many of those every day. There are not more unreported rapes than assault claims...no chance. The American Medical Association???...where do they have the authority or credibility in collecting this data? The second statistic is from another country with another legal system. Those stats, as you put it, are hogwash.
I have no idea what "unfounded" means. If a guy has consensual sex with a girl and then the girl claims rape, is that well founded? It is absolutely a false allegation but because the rape kit shows positive for DNA that fits into your statistic as not being baseless and thus not "unfounded."
Rape cases, as you noted earlier, require the witness to testify. If they are unwilling, to file a report or testify, there is no arrest because it is pointless.
I cannot follow your stats, I am sorry. Here is the big misconception. Criminal cases require an EXTREMELY high burden that you all know and see all the time, "Beyond a reasonable doubt (or beyond all reasonable doubts)." Almost all crimes are based on circumstantial evidence and this he-said, she-said business. The jury determines who is more credible, and that determines the story they believe. It is definitely true that juries believe the female more often than the male defendant. They take the "she has no reason to bring herself into the courtroom and expain this story because she has nothing to gain by putting him in jail...blah blah blah." But, you are right in that the conviction rate may not be as high because, as a juror, you have to convince yourself you believe one witness so much more than the other that it eliminates any reasonable doubt.
Where you are most certainly wrong is in a civil case for sexual assault or rape. Remember in a civil case the burden is a mere "preponderance of the evidence." This means, to use a football analogy, that you only need to reach the 51 yard line. That is not even field goal range. If the jury says you got to the 51 yard line you win. That makes it SO MUCH easier to win a civil trial for rape because you only have to believe one party slightly more than the other. The jury verdict reporters show it. Look at the size of the settlement the city did to avoid this conflict.
Is the system screwed up? Maybe, but it is certainly better than any other system around the world. I would not want any other system if I ever needed it to work.
Sorry. You went through a lot of trouble to come up with a response but you really did not bring up very many effective counter arguments.
1. You say most of my statistics "rely on" the fact that most rape goes unreported. What does this even mean? This is a blatantly false statement. The arrest rate for rape is 25% based on
REPORTED rapes. That number I cited, 6.5% of all
REPORTED rapes end with someone serving jail time, had nothing to do with unreported rapes. You need to go back and read through the post if you're having trouble.
2. Yes, I believe rape may very well be the least reported
VIOLENT crime. Nice of you to bring up verbal assault (a non-violent crime) and pretend that falls under the purview of my statement, but nonetheless your point is irrelevant. You say there are many fights every day. There are also many rapes every day, approximately one every 2 minutes, according to the U.S. Department of Justice.
3. Yes, the American Medical Association conducts scientifically devised and accepted surveys and studies about subjects that you on your couch with your potato chips might not have realized. I don't how the simple fact that you didn't know they did that makes their studies invalid all of a sudden. After all, what the hell do the Secret Service know about counterfeiting?
4. You don't like using studies in England, that's fine. Different system of justice, I can see why you would disregard it as it pertains to a discussion of the American legal system. But I also cited statistics (46 of 100 alleged rapes get reported) that are American and conducted by the Department of Justice.
5. I provided the legal definition of "unfounded". It is an allegation that is proven to be FALSE and/or BASELESS. This means, if they are proven not to even have had sex or contact with each other, that is unfounded. Also, if they DID have sex with one another and it is proven through evidence that she consented, that is also unfounded.
6. I'm not sure what point you're trying to make talking about how an arrest makes no sense if the witness is not willing to testify. I just got done talking about how CBS News conducted a 5 month study in 2009 of police stations in Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Los Angeles, San Diego, Oakland, Florida, Illinois, Maryland, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and Texas, and found over the 5 months an astounding 20,000 rape kits that sat in storage and went completely untested. As I said before, the national average arrest rate for
REPORTED rape is about 25%. Yet, in New York City where they have a policy of testing EVERY rape kit, they have an arrest rate of 70%, nearly three times the national average.
7. You don't follow my stats? Just try reading through them again. I wasn't writing in circles or dazzling with fancy words or grammar. I put together pretty straight forward arguments.
8. I'm not sure what you're trying to say when you talk about the standards of proof in a criminal case. Are you making my case for me? It sounds like you are. You're pointing out that the standard of proof (beyond a reasonable doubt) steers jurors toward not sending a man to prison based on he-said/she-said. I believe that's correct. I would note that the conviction rate for rape cases that actually go to trial approximates the conviction rate of all cases that go to trial. But what *I* pointed out is the simple fact that only about 20% of
REPORTED rapes end up with the prosecution of someone in court.
9. I have no idea why you're going through civil cases and the standard of proof and yes I'm very well aware the standard of proof is lower. It's not germane to the topic at hand since we're talking about Brian Banks who went to jail for 5 years and had another 5 years of house arrest hanging over his head until his accuser recanted.
10. In no way was anything I said meant to be comparative to other court systems around the world in order to make the case that our system is more or less screwed up than any other countries. I would save the Amurrrica chest thumping for when it's a little more appropriate.