Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa has 19th-best odds to win NFL MVP award

[Fin Fan in Cali]

Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa has 19th-best odds to win NFL MVP award

He’s ahead of a former Dolphins quarterback.

dolphinswire.usatoday.com

Now, entering 2022, the Dolphins have put forth a concerted effort to put Tagovailoa in a better situation. They upgraded the offensive line, improved their running game, acquired talented wide receivers, brought in an offensive-minded head coach and hired an experienced quarterbacks coach to give him the best chance to succeed.


With all of those changes, Tagovailoa’s odds of taking home this year’s NFL MVP are set at +6000, according to Tipico Sportsbook. He’s tied for the 19th-best odds of winning the award with Trevor Lawrence, Mac Jones and Deebo Samuel.

 

[Fin Fan in Cali]

Game on! FinsUp!

 

[Fin Fan in Cali]

 

[1972forever]

I have to admit, I never expected the odds of Tua to win the MVP award to be better than Tannehill next season. I guess the gamblers have finally figured out that it’s the running game and the OL in Tennessee that makes the offense effective and not Tannehill.

Of course the Titans wanting to trade for Rogers or Wilson and then drafting Willis seems to imply the Titans coaching staff and the front office have decided Tannehill isn’t the answer at the QB position beyond the 2022 season.

 

[Beach Bum]

If our OL gets most improved, I will be happy because, if so, the rest should take care of itself. :-)

 

[NBP81]

I might have took that bet if it wasnt for the fact its media voted... Its media voted right?

 

[1972forever]

I might have took that bet if it wasnt for the fact its media voted... Its media voted right?

It’s the betting odds at a sports book in Las Vegas. So I don’t think a media vote has anything to do with the odds. The odds are set based on the money gamblers are willing to bet on each proposition the sports book put out.

 

[Mach2]

Catchy headline, but +6000, tied with others? For a little perspective, the line for a SB win with similar odds.

Pittsburgh Steelers	+4000 (opened)	+6000 (current)
Washington Commanders	+5000	+6500

Not sure if I would even consider this a positive thing, or a negative thing for that matter.

Does it have any meaning at all? curious how others spin this "news".

 

[Martel13]

It’s the betting odds at a sports book in Las Vegas. So I don’t think a media vote has anything to do with the odds. The odds are set based on the money gamblers are willing to bet on each proposition the sports book put out.

I think he’s asking if the media decides the final MVP vote

 

[GRYPHONK]

Hmmmm.

I'm noticing a lot.of favorable stuff with Tua.

Looks like alot of people are starting to hedge their bets so when Tua lights it up they won't be completely embarassed based on what they've been saying about him prior

 

[fishbanger]

Phins need to win the division for him to have a top 5 chance

 

[1972forever]

I think he’s asking if the media decides the final MVP vote

I misunderstood exactly what he was asking but now it’s obvious that is what he was asking. In that case, the odds of Tua winning the MVP vote should probably be a lot higher. Because many in the media have been anti-Tua and the Dolphins would probably have to have the best record in the league in the regular season before they would vote for Tua.

 

[NBP81]

I misunderstood exactly what he was asking but now it’s obvious that is what he was asking. In that case, the odds of Tua winning the MVP vote should probably be a lot higher. Because many in the media have been anti-Tua and the Dolphins would probably have to have the best record in the league in the regular season before they would vote for Tua.

Exactly what and why I was asking.

 

[NBP81]

Catchy headline, but +6000, tied with others? For a little perspective, the line for a SB win with similar odds.

Pittsburgh Steelers	+4000 (opened)	+6000 (current)
Washington Commanders	+5000	+6500

Not sure if I would even consider this a positive thing, or a negative thing for that matter.

Does it have any meaning at all? curious how others spin this "news".

+6000 converts to a 1.64 break even %... In other words, you need it to happen 1.64 times out of a 100 for it to make it a break even bet, or more for a profitable one...

 

[Mach2]

+6000 converts to a 1.64 break even %... In other words, you need it to happen 1.64 times out of a 100 for it to make it a break even bet, or more for a profitable one...

Yes, that was my point. I wasn't considering whether or not it was a wise bet, or the payout. I was just saying that I don't see how this kind of thing is actually meaningful one way or the other.

"18th best odds" as a headline is catchy as it implies that Tua is considered the 18th best player, but that is surely not the case. In reality it is an extreme long shot. Oddsmakers really can't lose even if they have to payout one of the longshots.