Dolphins small favorite over Jets, -1 to -2 | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Dolphins small favorite over Jets, -1 to -2

Awsi Dooger

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That's where the early action has taken it. Some joints opened pick-em. Offshore books currently are at -1 to -1.5 while two Las Vegas sportsbooks are using -2 and even -2.5.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/offshore/2/

http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/

I expected -2. The Jets are considered a shade better by power rating and the impression is they need the game more. You can't allocate the full 3. Besides, that 3 point boost for the home field is not an absolute. It's often 2.5 if the game is expected to be low scoring, and this one qualifies, with an over/under of 35.

That total looks low to me. Miami's two road games set up conservatively, particularly when the Dolphins got an early lead and basically tried to avoid screwing up. A home game may see a more aggressive approach. Last season Miami scored 20+ in every home game.
 
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