I'm not detecting the vast improvement in pass defense that so many are touting in this thread. We allowed 7.0 yards per attempt last season and it's 6.9 this year.
That makes us a middle of the road team, when you combine it with Tannehill's identical performance from last season in YPA, in the 6.8 range.
The interceptions are up, thanks to playmakers like Grimes and Patterson. I could argue that the pass defense is actually worse, once you take away the interceptions. I'm never fixated on interception numbers as much as yards per attempt because interceptions can vary so wildly from year to year, even if the personnel doesn't change.
Notice that our net is dead even. The top teams have a YPPA Differential of +1 yard or more. Seattle right now is a sensational +3.0, averaging 8.8 yards per pass attempt while allowing only 5.8. You very, very rarely see a differential like that in the NFL. It's more typical of the best college teams. There have been college teams with as great as +4.5 over the years.
It's difficult to overachieve and win a high percentage of games when your net differential is in the break even range. That's always a starting reference point. Even if you do win a high percentage of games, you're basically a fraud and likely will be exposed in the playoffs. The Falcons twice were top seed in the NFC despite moderate YPPA Differential. That's why I call them creeps. Finally they are receiving a deserved regression. Green Bay as 6th seed had a significantly higher YPPA Differential when they took out Atlanta on the road and won the Super Bowl a few years ago. Similarly, when Pittsburgh upset the Colts on the road in 2005 and won the Super Bowl, they had the second highest YPPA Diferential in the league behind the Colts. That game looked like the true Super Bowl and it probably was, even though it happened early in the playoffs.
Examples like that are why I have to chuckle at all the posters who scoff at stats. I've used the numbers to great benefit since 1987. Time after time you know something the media doesn't know. The posters who subjectively denounce stats might as well be spitting into the wind.
Occasionally there are oddities like the 2010 Chargers, who had excellent YPPA Differential numbers but their special teams were so historically inept they blew many games as a result early in the season, and missed the playoffs completely. I've never seen another example like that in the 25+ years I've charted the category.
Anyway, Ellerbe gets frozen in his tracks on running plays while Wheeler is willing to make a commitment but too often it's in the wrong direction. Dansby is an oddity in that he's so much more aggressive and big play effective with the Cardinals than he ever showed here. I'm happy he's back in his best setting and he should accept it that way, instead of bitching about his experiences here. Although if I had Jeff Ireland above me for several years I'd probably have trouble letting go of it myself.