Espn Runs 10,000 Computer Simulations, Dolphins Win Super Bowl In #5,130

dirwuf

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"Simulation 5130" should be our 2019 team motto

http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/26696757/mega-nfl-projections-likely-super-bowl-liv-matchups-2020-draft-order-more

...To build our projections, we simulated the 2019 season 10,000 times. And exactly once -- simulation No. 5,130 -- the Dolphins went on to win the Super Bowl.

How did they do it? A Miami miracle of astronomic proportions.

Brian Flores' team made a late run, winning four consecutive games from Weeks 13-16 before dropping a Week 17 contest in Foxboro against Flores' old team. No matter: At 10-6, a feisty Dolphins team led by either Josh Rosen or Ryan Fitzpatrick (FPI isn't clear) snuck into the playoffs as No. 6 seed.

On the road, Miami dismantled the AFC South champion Texans before a rematch against the division-rival Patriots. And this time, it pulled off the upset.Lamar Jackson and the Ravens' defense were then no match for Rosen and/or Fitzpatrick in the AFC Championship Game. And miraculously, Flores' team finished it off with a victory over the Eagles two weeks later.

And so it's possible, Dolphins fans. It's spring, and thankfully, due to Simulation 5,130, all 32 teams officially have hope.
 
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tay0365

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This has a very "end-game" feel to it.
So does this mean at the last second Jones will take the deflated ball from Tom Brady's hand, giving up his life for the victory?
 

illscriptures

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1 in 10,000 chance. Business as usual in other words.


I think we definitely have better odds. 1 in 32 to be precise.
 
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