ESPN: VEGAS: Dolphins Only Favored to win FOUR Games in 2016 | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

ESPN: VEGAS: Dolphins Only Favored to win FOUR Games in 2016

Perfect72

Perfect72

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http://espn.go.com/blog/miami-dolphins/post/_/id/21364/dolphins-favored-to-win-just-four-games-in-2016

Seems a bit low don't you think?
Many believe the Dolphins will win at LEAST 6 games...:ponder:
 
Perfect72 said:
http://espn.go.com/blog/miami-dolphins/post/_/id/21364/dolphins-favored-to-win-just-four-games-in-2016

Seems a bit low don't you think?
Many believe the Dolphins will win at LEAST 6 games...:ponder:
Click to expand...

Thank you Vegas, I do not normally gamble on football, but they just made me an offer I just can't refuse...
godfather-offer.gif
 
Week 17 isn't included. A couple weeks are even if you factor in home team and the game vs. Jets is a pick em. A little early to be making weekly lines but I guess people will gamble on anything.
 
I will take that bet. I see us winning 6 to 8
 
Seriously, how do you gamble? Somebody educate me....I want in on this. I'lll throw down a couple of hundred on the over.

Is this done online, or do I have to call a guy in Vegas?

I don't normally gamble as I hate losing money, but again, I want a piece of this.
 
Perfect72 said:
http://espn.go.com/blog/miami-dolphins/post/_/id/21364/dolphins-favored-to-win-just-four-games-in-2016 Seems a bit low don't you think? Many believe the Dolphins will win at LEAST 6 games...:ponder:
Click to expand...
Someone needs to explain that to me. I realize the biggest two factors for '16 are injuries and Gase. But no one can predict injuries. I know this is controversial, but the only position I see as significantly worse is RB and no one knows if Miami will upgrade that or not. I can't see Gase as being as bad as Philbin or the OL as bad as last year's, and that team won 6. 4 wins? Sounds like a a good bet.
 
Just more "we don't get no respect" material. Pin it on the bulletin board.
 
Lol, just because they're not favored to win those games doesn't mean they're going to let you bet on 4+ wins for the season. They could say we had a 40% chance to win every single game this season, and that would still give us what should be 6-7 wins on the season.
 
I think this is kind of funny. Last year a lot of people had us doing well having just missed the playoffs with 3 games in particular lost in the waning seconds on defensive collapses....and then we add Suh. Now this year, we won 6 games last year and lost the likes of Miller, Grimes, and Vernon, so the assumption must be we won't do as well. Every season is a new season and we will win more than 4 games!
 
The difference how the individual odds each game add up over a season.

For example, you could be favored to win every game of the season with a 51% each time. But overall you'd only win 8 out of 16.

It may be the 4 games the Dolphins are favored by a high margin and many of the games they aren't favored it's still pretty close so they may still be expected to win more than 4 games.
 
BlueUndertow said:
The difference how the individual odds each game add up over a season. For example, you could be favored to win every game of the season with a 51% each time. But overall you'd only win 8 out of 16. It may be the 4 games the Dolphins are favored by a high margin and many of the games they aren't favored it's still pretty close so they may still be expected to win more than 4 games.
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So it is reasonable to say Miami is clearly favored to win 4 and very close on, say, 7 games. Thus, 50% odds (I'm throwing out a number) of 7 games is 3.5, thus, 4 plus 3.5 equals 7.5, But that means Miami is a clear favorite in 4 games and 50/50 for 7 games, which means they are clear underdogs in only 5. In case you haven't figured it out, I have on my rose-colored glasses today.
 
kcbrown said:
Seriously, how do you gamble? Somebody educate me....I want in on this. I'lll throw down a couple of hundred on the over.

Is this done online, or do I have to call a guy in Vegas?

I don't normally gamble as I hate losing money, but again, I want a piece of this.
Click to expand...

I have used TopBet.com for over 3 years and recommend. You create an account and deposit some money (I used a credit card). Then you can use the phone app or website to place your bets. If you have money in your account you are eligible for free $10 bets each week. Minimum bet is $5 on any bet. When you win your account is credited with winnings. Pretty simple. I've placed bets when at sporting events minutes before the start of contest from my iPhone. Pretty handy when you get some good info to capitalize on.
 
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