Phinsome
Phinfan since 1982
I am sorry if this has been posted before, but I can't help myself. I also appologize in advance for the long post.
I've been reading and thinking (usually a mistake on my part) and I think they Jets may have signed Favre just to sell tickets, because looking at the logistics of the situation and the numbers over the past few seasons, Pennington seems to be less of a risk.
Lets start with 38 year old Brett. Last year he had NASTY receivers and did quite well. I'll give him that, but Crotcherty and Coles aren't Driver, Jennings and Jones and the YAC they created.
http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/players/stats?playerId=112
Look at 2006 and 2005. He was an INT MACHINE! 2005 they had injuries, but Driver still had 1200 yards and he had the same TEs in Lee and Franks. In 2006, Favre improved, but still with the same 2007 guys, he was 18 and 18. Everyone thought he was gonna retire.
Okay, so in 2007 he finally gets in sync with his recievers. It took him 3 years to get on the same page. He doesn't have that kind of time in NY. That year, he gets some blocking and blows up. Good season. One good season out of the last 3. Prior to that he's averaging 30 TDs and and 20 INTS. Good TD numbers, but thats a lot of picks.
Great, so, we look at Penny's numbers. All arguments about his robot arm and durability aside (I'm guity as charged), the guy is 32 years old, not 38. He's got a lot of football left, even if it does entail holding Henne's clipboard in a year or two.
http://scores.espn.go.com/nfl/players/stats?playerId=2149
So, whenever Chad plays more than 4 games in a season, which is 5 out of his 8 years, he has a very high efficiency rating. I don't even want to go back and look at our QB efficiency ratings over the last 8 years, but I'd guess the average is somewhere in the mid to high 70s.
In those 5 relevant years, Chad is always above an 82 rating with a couple of stellar outings in 2002 and 2004. The TD numbers arent huge, but he was playing against the AFC East with a very consistent efficiency. Also, as I remember it, when the Jets beat us with Penny, it was because of Penny. That game last year where he runs in the TD, that was ALL Penny.
So, the point is, Penny is efficient and consistent when he was healthy which is the majority of the time, based on statistics. Yeah, he had some bad seasons, and yeah he missed some time, but he is healthy now, right?
Favre has been inconsistent over the past three seasons and hes 38! The guy has what, 1, 2 years left? Do you think he's gonna throw for 30 TDs when he's 39, 40?
Stepping back, from a global perspective, the only loser here was the Packers. Favre made them look pretty dumb. The Jets sold tickets when Brett was signed and the Fins sold tickets when Penny arrived. Makes me think that's why the Jets did it or perhaps that blinded them. I guess it was a win win for the Jets and us, but I have a feeling that we are gonna get a little more win out of the whole situation.
I have managed to make it through this entire meandering diatribe without exposing my burning hot contempt for all things related to the New Jersey Jets. Let me address that now. I hate the Jets. Ok, feel better now.
In a way, I have complemented their owners for making a smart business move. However, in the long run and in the win column overall, I think we won this round. Parcells pulled the trigger on Penny so fast, I was spinning.
Now lets win week one, then they'll really be angry!:up:
I've been reading and thinking (usually a mistake on my part) and I think they Jets may have signed Favre just to sell tickets, because looking at the logistics of the situation and the numbers over the past few seasons, Pennington seems to be less of a risk.
Lets start with 38 year old Brett. Last year he had NASTY receivers and did quite well. I'll give him that, but Crotcherty and Coles aren't Driver, Jennings and Jones and the YAC they created.
http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/players/stats?playerId=112
Look at 2006 and 2005. He was an INT MACHINE! 2005 they had injuries, but Driver still had 1200 yards and he had the same TEs in Lee and Franks. In 2006, Favre improved, but still with the same 2007 guys, he was 18 and 18. Everyone thought he was gonna retire.
Okay, so in 2007 he finally gets in sync with his recievers. It took him 3 years to get on the same page. He doesn't have that kind of time in NY. That year, he gets some blocking and blows up. Good season. One good season out of the last 3. Prior to that he's averaging 30 TDs and and 20 INTS. Good TD numbers, but thats a lot of picks.
Great, so, we look at Penny's numbers. All arguments about his robot arm and durability aside (I'm guity as charged), the guy is 32 years old, not 38. He's got a lot of football left, even if it does entail holding Henne's clipboard in a year or two.
http://scores.espn.go.com/nfl/players/stats?playerId=2149
So, whenever Chad plays more than 4 games in a season, which is 5 out of his 8 years, he has a very high efficiency rating. I don't even want to go back and look at our QB efficiency ratings over the last 8 years, but I'd guess the average is somewhere in the mid to high 70s.
In those 5 relevant years, Chad is always above an 82 rating with a couple of stellar outings in 2002 and 2004. The TD numbers arent huge, but he was playing against the AFC East with a very consistent efficiency. Also, as I remember it, when the Jets beat us with Penny, it was because of Penny. That game last year where he runs in the TD, that was ALL Penny.
So, the point is, Penny is efficient and consistent when he was healthy which is the majority of the time, based on statistics. Yeah, he had some bad seasons, and yeah he missed some time, but he is healthy now, right?
Favre has been inconsistent over the past three seasons and hes 38! The guy has what, 1, 2 years left? Do you think he's gonna throw for 30 TDs when he's 39, 40?
Stepping back, from a global perspective, the only loser here was the Packers. Favre made them look pretty dumb. The Jets sold tickets when Brett was signed and the Fins sold tickets when Penny arrived. Makes me think that's why the Jets did it or perhaps that blinded them. I guess it was a win win for the Jets and us, but I have a feeling that we are gonna get a little more win out of the whole situation.
I have managed to make it through this entire meandering diatribe without exposing my burning hot contempt for all things related to the New Jersey Jets. Let me address that now. I hate the Jets. Ok, feel better now.
In a way, I have complemented their owners for making a smart business move. However, in the long run and in the win column overall, I think we won this round. Parcells pulled the trigger on Penny so fast, I was spinning.
Now lets win week one, then they'll really be angry!:up:
