Fins have a chance to surprise many this year ! | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Fins have a chance to surprise many this year !

dFinsRule said:
Good article on the chances of us being a surprise team this year , good data from last years team, BIM Believe In Miami!

A good article about the statistics of the 2011 campaign but it ignores the influence a new system like the WC can have on offensive production and that Moore may not be the right guy to run it, regardless of his leadership abilities and past statistical performance. It also ignores the fact that the Dolphins were grossly out of shape and unprepared to begin the season last year compared to their competition, and I think that flaw is being addressed right now for 2012. How else can we explain how our defense goes form 30th in the first 8 games to top 5 in the last 8? Where was the defense in the first 8 games? Sure, the Dolphins had some bad luck in the first half of the season last year, especially with injuries and fumbles. But, so do other teams. Yet, the good ones (giants) manage to overcome problems like those, and that is what separates them from mediocre teams like ours last year.

In this article, the writer behaves as though a new coaching staff will only make matters worse, rather than improve our chances. He's basically saying that Ross should rather have trusted in statistical trends to make things right, instead of addressing the obvious weaknesses of our team last year. To review, our biggest weaknesses last year were being less prepared and out of shape in the first half of the season than our opponents. WHY did that happen? COACHING.
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There is a few things to take away from that writeup

1) it is a good writeup
2) stats be stats, you can use them to advance or retard an argument.
3) there is no clear conclusion for or against Miami playing well or poor
4) the QB argument for Moore is thin and opinion based

Overall though it is a good write and worth reading if you are a stat junkie like I am.
 
A great and informative article. Everyone should actually read it.
A couple of things that I took from the article was that the pass defense was horrendous in the first 8 games..could the slow start be in part to laziness of our secondary players?...This could explain Philbin lighting a fire under Vontae Davis..to get him up to speed! Bringing in Marshall adds some stability too.
The defensive coordinator might have also been a factor. He was not happy and actually the staff was quite dysfunctional because of the Sparano / Harbaugh affair. He might have checked out before the season. When Bowles began taking charge of the defense, and the players pride kicked in, everything turned around drastically.
Second was the lack of turnover going our way. That stat against Buffalo was shocking. We were constantly losing the turnover battle yet in the second half of the season we were able to over come that.
Third is that we lost very close contested games against 3 quality teams in their house, and two of those played in the super bowl. We were playing at a high level despite everything that went on earlier in the season. Matt Moore(stepping in after a ineffective Henne) deserves a lot of credit, along with Bowles.
Having this new staff with their improved focus and new schemes will just make the Fins better IMHO. Our players have pride and a will to win, they just need quality leadership..we got it now.
 
A truely great and exciting article. It gives a lot of hope that we may have a lot more of the pieces in place than we may have thought. I love Vontae but Hard Knocks shed light on some things that makes it easy to see why he is struggling. I think he will get with the program and become the player he can be by the start of camp, and I also think people underestimate Marshall. Marshall is a pros pro, a class act and a play maker. This is a passing league which means your pass defense is the most important part of your defense. We NEED great pass defense to accomplish ANYTHING this year.

I love your sig ATL_FIN_FAN. It is the Shula quote that says "a superior man blames himself, an inferior man blames others". I couldn't help but think of the clip in Hard Knocks where DG is in the shotgun and the ball is snapped almost directly to him just slightly to the side, he easily gets both hands on it shoulder high, but the ball bounces off his hands and goes behind him. After the play he tries to blame Pouncey saying the ball went "over his head". When you compare that to the cowboys game last year in the 4th q when Moore is in the gun and has to lunge two steps to his left to get a snap that truely is a bad snap, then he has to return to he safety of the pocket only the have Columbo let the DE go untouched and hits Moore before he can even look down field. Moore fumbles the ball and it goes out of bounds. After the play Moore gets up and pats HIMSELF on the chest as if to say "MY BAD". You start to understand why Pouncey was in Odricks face on the clip where he tells him not to hit the QB, "you DO understand he is our STARTING QB right"? To which Odrick says, "yeah". The players respect Moore because he takes blame like a leader.
 
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