my 2 cents
my 2 cents
of which I am NOT one...
First off Miami must win out and then win a tiebreaker in the inevitable event of a tie for the last wildcard….which with almost total probability will be a multiple team tiebreaker.
The first thing that must be understood that if the Dolphins win out that they will win the tiebreaker with the Jets. It will go down to the 5th tiebreaker which is strength of victory…which is defined by the NFL as follows:
Definition: A part of the NFL's tiebreaking procedure, strength of victory is figured by calculating the combined winning percentage of the opponents a team has beaten. Since the Jets and Dolphins have BOTH beat: Tennessee, Buffalo, each other, Detroit, New England and Minnesota then the “other†victories come into play. The Jets “other†victories are against; Houston, Green Bay, and Oakland The Dolphins “other†victories are/will be against Chicago, Indy, and KC …Jets cannot overcome this.
The other division tiebreakers used to eliminate one of the teams from the same division stand as follows and is the first elimination in multiple team tie breakers:
Chiefs/Broncos: Chiefs would hold the tiebreaker because one of their wins left on their schedule would be a division win versus either Oakland or SD. So there is a strong possibility of the Chiefs being the team from this division in a multiple team tiebreaker.
Jags/Titans: Tennessee would win this tiebreaker with 2 more division victories than Jax. So there is a strong possibility that Tennessee would be this divisions tiebreaker representative in a multiple team tiebreaker…IF…BIG IF Jax loses to Tennessee and either NE or KC.
Steelers/Bengals: Cincinnati has already won this based on division record so the only way in for the Steelers if for Cincinnati to lose out, and the world to turn on its ear. So for the rest of this we will not include the Steelers.
So the tiebreaker would come down to come down to the following combinations of two team tie breakers (three team with Jets also, since Jets would be eliminated).
Dolphins/Chiefs….Dolphins win
Dolphins/Jags…Jags win.
Dolphins/Steelers…Steelers win.
Dolphins/Titans….Dolphins win.
Dolphins/Broncos … Broncos win (Dolphins cannot make up 4 games down in Conference record).
Dolphins/Bengals…Bengals win if tied because they will have won one more AFC game remaining on their schedule and Dolphins cannot make that up.
Now the fun part…assuming that one of the 5 loss teams is the first wild card 3 team tiebreakers apply…looking at the division tiebreaker which is used to eliminate one team if the wildcards are from the same division…so then we can look at the other possibilities:
Assuming Bengals get first WC:
Jets/Dolphins and any other team are same as above.
Dolphins/Chiefs/Jags…Miami wins based on being 1 game up in the conference and Jax’s 2 additional losses will be conference games.
Dolphins/Chiefs/Titans.. Dolphins win based on sweep.
Dolphins/Broncos/Jags.. Broncos win this based on AFC record.
Dolphins/Broncos/Titans…Broncos win this based on AFC record.
Assuming Jags get WC 1.
Dolphins/Chiefs/Bengals…Chiefs eliminated due to losses versus Bengals and Dolphins but Bengals get last WC based on AFC record.
Dolphins/Chiefs/Titans…Dolphins win.
Dolphins/Broncos/Bengals…Broncos-Bengals winner in week 16 goes.
Dolphins/Broncos/Titans…Broncos go based on AFC record.
Dolphins/Titans/Bengals..Bengals go based on AFC record.
For the REAL fun…4 team tiebreakers….
Dolphins/Bengals/Chiefs/Jags…Bengals and Dolphins go. Based on AFC records.
Dolphins/Bengals/Chiefs/Titans….Bengals and Dolphins go (based on Cincy’s AFC record and Miami’s sweep.
Dolphins/Bengals/Broncos/Jags… Cincy and Denver go based on AFC record.
Dolphins/Bengals/Broncos/Titans… Cincy and Denver go based on AFC record.
When REALLY looking at the playoff possibilities it is not as impossible as it seems at first glance. What the true believers must hope for is the Dolphins win out and a KC loss to San Diego, and two KC wins versus Oakland and Jax, a Titans win against Jax, and a Denver loss (Cincy????) in any of their 3 remaining games It is far fetched but really simple….
First off Miami must win out and then win a tiebreaker in the inevitable event of a tie for the last wildcard….which with almost total probability will be a multiple team tiebreaker.
The first thing that must be understood that if the Dolphins win out that they will win the tiebreaker with the Jets. It will go down to the 5th tiebreaker which is strength of victory…which is defined by the NFL as follows:
Definition: A part of the NFL's tiebreaking procedure, strength of victory is figured by calculating the combined winning percentage of the opponents a team has beaten. Since the Jets and Dolphins have BOTH beat: Tennessee, Buffalo, each other, Detroit, New England and Minnesota then the “other†victories come into play. The Jets “other†victories are against; Houston, Green Bay, and Oakland The Dolphins “other†victories are/will be against Chicago, Indy, and KC …Jets cannot overcome this.
The other division tiebreakers used to eliminate one of the teams from the same division stand as follows and is the first elimination in multiple team tie breakers:
Chiefs/Broncos: Chiefs would hold the tiebreaker because one of their wins left on their schedule would be a division win versus either Oakland or SD. So there is a strong possibility of the Chiefs being the team from this division in a multiple team tiebreaker.
Jags/Titans: Tennessee would win this tiebreaker with 2 more division victories than Jax. So there is a strong possibility that Tennessee would be this divisions tiebreaker representative in a multiple team tiebreaker…IF…BIG IF Jax loses to Tennessee and either NE or KC.
Steelers/Bengals: Cincinnati has already won this based on division record so the only way in for the Steelers if for Cincinnati to lose out, and the world to turn on its ear. So for the rest of this we will not include the Steelers.
So the tiebreaker would come down to come down to the following combinations of two team tie breakers (three team with Jets also, since Jets would be eliminated).
Dolphins/Chiefs….Dolphins win
Dolphins/Jags…Jags win.
Dolphins/Steelers…Steelers win.
Dolphins/Titans….Dolphins win.
Dolphins/Broncos … Broncos win (Dolphins cannot make up 4 games down in Conference record).
Dolphins/Bengals…Bengals win if tied because they will have won one more AFC game remaining on their schedule and Dolphins cannot make that up.
Now the fun part…assuming that one of the 5 loss teams is the first wild card 3 team tiebreakers apply…looking at the division tiebreaker which is used to eliminate one team if the wildcards are from the same division…so then we can look at the other possibilities:
Assuming Bengals get first WC:
Jets/Dolphins and any other team are same as above.
Dolphins/Chiefs/Jags…Miami wins based on being 1 game up in the conference and Jax’s 2 additional losses will be conference games.
Dolphins/Chiefs/Titans.. Dolphins win based on sweep.
Dolphins/Broncos/Jags.. Broncos win this based on AFC record.
Dolphins/Broncos/Titans…Broncos win this based on AFC record.
Assuming Jags get WC 1.
Dolphins/Chiefs/Bengals…Chiefs eliminated due to losses versus Bengals and Dolphins but Bengals get last WC based on AFC record.
Dolphins/Chiefs/Titans…Dolphins win.
Dolphins/Broncos/Bengals…Broncos-Bengals winner in week 16 goes.
Dolphins/Broncos/Titans…Broncos go based on AFC record.
Dolphins/Titans/Bengals..Bengals go based on AFC record.
For the REAL fun…4 team tiebreakers….
Dolphins/Bengals/Chiefs/Jags…Bengals and Dolphins go. Based on AFC records.
Dolphins/Bengals/Chiefs/Titans….Bengals and Dolphins go (based on Cincy’s AFC record and Miami’s sweep.
Dolphins/Bengals/Broncos/Jags… Cincy and Denver go based on AFC record.
Dolphins/Bengals/Broncos/Titans… Cincy and Denver go based on AFC record.
When REALLY looking at the playoff possibilities it is not as impossible as it seems at first glance. What the true believers must hope for is the Dolphins win out and a KC loss to San Diego, and two KC wins versus Oakland and Jax, a Titans win against Jax, and a Denver loss (Cincy????) in any of their 3 remaining games It is far fetched but really simple….
