Greg Cote's Week 12 Nfl Picks | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Greg Cote's Week 12 Nfl Picks

DKphin

DKphin

Active Roster
Joined
Aug 10, 2008
Messages
14,535
Reaction score
6,353
Location
Pattaya, Thailand
At Colts (5-5, -7 {) over Dolphins (5-5), 30-23: For me, the home field, Andrew Luck playing great and Miami's notorious tendency to wither on the road make this a clear pick. I do like Miami, coming off a bye, getting 7-plus points, but an outright upset seems a longshot. Ryan Tannehill coming back from (another) injury, and his team on the unsteady road, leave Miami with much to prove here.

http://www.fltimes.com/tns/sports/g...cle_20a19311-1443-5919-bff9-95ac1175823f.html
 
Well at least that line dropped 3 points with the qb change.

A 10 point line with os yeah I could see it with tanny nah.

Too rich. I think 6 is about right
 
Agree plus banged up recievers and interior Dline makes this a hard game to hope for.
 
Which Tannehill shows up, and which defense shows up makes all the difference in if we win this game. Too bad we cannot be consistent in either direction.
 
I picked Miami with the points. I FULLY expect Miami to lose but to cover with some garbage time points.
 
zach attach said:
Which Tannehill shows up, and which defense shows up makes all the difference in if we win this game. Too bad we cannot be consistent in either direction.
Click to expand...
There’s only one Tannehill. The inconsistent one.
 
Aqua ‘N Orange said:
Well at least that line dropped 3 points with the qb change.

A 10 point line with os yeah I could see it with tanny nah.

Too rich. I think 6 is about right
Click to expand...

It hasn't moved 3 points. I don't know where you get that. The line was quoted here once at -10 but very few joints were actually at -10. It was overwhelmingly -9.5. Now the number is anywhere from -7.5 to -8.5.

Most spots have moved 1.5 or 2 points downward. Southpoint is the one spot that was -10 at open and now down 2.5 points to -7.5 on the Colts.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odd...olphins-@-colts.cfm/date/11-25-18/time/1625#N

The spots that did make an immediate shift based on Tannehill starting moved the number 1.5 points downward, without waiting for money to move it that way. The examples were primarily the offshore books like Pinnacle. You can see that here in the offshore line movement. Note Pinnacle and several other dropping instantly from -9 to -7.5. That is the Tannehill adjustment. The only spot that moved it down 2 points instantly was Bovada, from -10 to -8:

http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odd.../dolphins-@-colts.cfm/date/11-25-18/time/1625
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top Bottom