If you take the underdog against the spread every week for all games you would come in between 62% and 72% correct over the past five years. It is why I stopped playing the spread pools. I would win but got no enjoyment because I was doing the same thing every week. People would beat me most weeks (would still win maybe 3 or 4 weeks), but I would win on the year or be second almost without question.
That strategy beats most sport writters as well. If you can pick over 75% than I get impressed. Look for a writer with that kind of average and do what he does, but don't try to out guess him, just do what he does.
If you want to have more fun than money, just pick'm baby.
TRY: Cowboys, Titans, Saints. But don't cry to me if I am wrong!