Baltimore's great players are legitimately great. We always have a few guys who earn Pro Bowl status. They don't actually compare to upper echelon talent on the best teams. Flacco takes some criticism but he can make every throw and has plenty of pocket savvy. With that guy it doesn't matter if a late season outing looks terrible, or if a series of drives go nowhere. He's always a candidate to turn it around in a flash, and when it matters. Keep in mind they should have beaten New England in the one recent playoff game they lost to the Patriots, other than a dropped touchdown pass in the final seconds, followed by a missed field goal.
In the playoffs you need to be dynamic or tough, or some combination. We don't qualify in either category. I despise hard trying overachievers in this league. They'll absolutely destroy your team if you prioritize them and keep them around, as opposed to raw talent.
My playoff YPPA Differential system got off to a nice start with Ravens +3.5. Criteria, for those who don't remember or didn't follow it in recent seasons, is bet any team with at least a half yard edge on its opponent during the regular season. I use Bud Goode's Killer Stat chart. Baltimore barely qualified at +.7 to +.2 for Pittsburgh.
I keep expecting that system to fall off somewhat because it's wildly overachieved the past few years compared to previously. Frankly, all of the NFL systems have been faring strangely above the norm recently. I'm not going to complain because it can, and usually does, logically regress. The bowl game systems were just okay this year.
Tomorrow I have Dallas minus the points hosting Detroit. I'm hoping it drops a little bit. Currently a mixture of -6.5 and -7.
No plays on the other two games this weekend. Narrowly missed a play on the Colts, who are .4 above Cincinnati. Same with Baltimore against New England next Saturday. The Ravens were also .4 better than the Patriots, who have a strangely poor YPPA Differential for a top seed.
Clear cut separation this year. I'll have Denver as long as they remain. Broncos led the league at +2.4. Next is Green Bay at +1.6, so I'll have them throughout the NFC playoffs including a meeting at Seattle, which finished third in the league at +1.1