Five thoughts of the Dolphins playoffs chances:
1. The Dolphins have a 54 percent chance to grab the final spot of the playoffs, according to playoffstatus.com. Baltimore, which currently holds the playoff berth over the Dolphins, has a 30 percent chance of making the playoffs. The computation comes from projecting remaining games, “with a probability based upon relative team strenghts.” The Dolphins have a 44 percent chance of not making the playoffs compared to the
Ravens’ 30 percent chance. Everyone else is a long shot with the Jets having an 8 percent chance to be in third place. The main reason the Dolphins are favored is …
2. The schedule favors the Dolphins. Baltimore’s remaining schedule involves three division leaders and two on the road: at Detroit, New England and at Cincinnati. To tell the significance of road games, only two visiting teams won last weekend (the Dolphins were one of them). Meanwhile, the Dolphins host New England, go to Buffalo and close with the Jets at home. So Baltimore plays two of their final three games on the road, and the Dolphins play two games at home. Baltimore play three teams with winning records and two sure playoff teams while the Dolphins’ only remaining opponent in that category is New England. The Dolphins final games against the
Bills and Jets will be against teams who are playing with one eye on next year.