Well, we've covered the spread 3 times in 9 games. Only in our wins. The losses to the Jets, Bills, Buccs, Chiefs, Falcons and Patriots were all not only defeats but outside the number. In the Chiefs game we were actually a slight fave or pick at gametime.
I'm not saying that's perfect way to gage overachieving or underachieving but simply one reference point. Also our season win number was 5.5, which equates to a projection of 5.5-10.5. Right now we're right on pace at 3-6. I need 3 wins in 7 games to win my over 5 flat, so I suggest we begin overachieving and soon.