M2D73's "X-Factor Friday" | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

M2D73's "X-Factor Friday"

marino2duper73

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I figured I'd start a weekly thread on the side stories for each week's matchup the Fins have. All writings are simply my opinions and observations, and I think it will generate some great conversations. Here we go...

MIA vs NE

X-Factor #1 - The Goal Line RB

Over the course of the past several seasons, specifically last year and this year's preseason, Miami fans have cringed at the thought of 1st & Goal from inside the 5 yard line. Repeatedly, we watched as the designated "bruiser back" (Howard in '20, Brown in '21 preseason) fail to break the goal line. Alternately, the Fins would have more success inside the 5 using trickery, over-stacked play action lines, and misdirection slot passing to get the 6. Oddly, when Gaskin or Ahmed was given the rock inside the 5, it FELT like they got in more than the bowling ball RBs, which begs the question: Why even sign a "short-yardage back" if he can't get in? It will be interesting to see how Godsey approaches the run game inside the 5 on Sunday.

X-Factor #2 - Shaheen WILL be missed!

Adam Shaheen is that guy that always gets the tough yards, it seems always on 3rd down, and is a bit under the radar for his importance to this offense. With his above average blocking skills, and his pass-catching abilities, when Shaheen is on the field, opposing defense can't zero in on him as easily as Gesicki. Gesicki is not as consistent of a blocker as Shaheen, which does expose the run game/RPO for Miami without 2 TE sets. It will be interesting to see if Miami uses Gesicki more as a decoy in 2 TE sets to bait the NE safeties to cheat up, and give the speedy WRs of the Dolphins more downfield opportunities. Shaheen masks the TE assignment reads to defenses a little better than G-Sick, so hopefully Mike's blocking has improved enough this offseason to provide similar confusion to NE's secondary.

X-Factor #3 - Raekwon Davis vs the run

Everyone knows that Raekwon Davis is VERY stout against the run, specifically up the gut, and incredibly, even against the double-team push that NE likes to use in 3rd & short situations. Where Davis struggled last year was getting fooled on screen passes, more specifically, Raekwon being late to read the OL's "heel blocking", where the O-Line allows the pass rush to advance into the backfield to clear the screen lane for the RB. When Davis is in on anticipated run play downs, and screen play downs, it will be imperative that Raekwon is faster at picking up the screen passes. He's not supposed to cover the RB, however his job is to disrupt the blocking lanes and not bite on the OL selling the screen as a broken down OL play. Josh McDaniels loves the screen pass on 1st down. It will be a much-anticipated trench observation that is under the radar.

Lastly, X-Factor #4 - The Return Game

For the past few years, Jakeem Grant has been THE guy returning punts and kickoffs when healthy and NOT juggling the initial catch of the kick. When Grant struggled, the Fins did not hesitate to toss Iggy or whomever else in there, that could gain positive yards and more importantly not have the POTENTIAL to turn the ball over. Enter Jaylen "Waffle House" Waddle. Waddle brings the same "take it to the house" speed as Grant, however Waddle has a more dynamic skill set of moves than Jakeem. Where both men rely on speed in the return game, Waddle has more experience at the art of making guys miss with moves. Simply, Waddle's YAC ankle-breaking skills as a WR separate him from Grant. However, because of Waddle's value to the offense, it will be interesting to see how Waddle is used on special teams if Grant struggles returning kicks.

Ok, Fin Fan bretheren and sisterlies... open it up. I hope you enjoy this thread, as I will do this every Friday. FINS UP!!!
 
All valid points except for maybe #2.

Not sure how much we will miss 12 receptions, 150 yards and 3 TD's (all career highs for Shaheen) for a whole season. That equates to .75 receptions, 9 yards and .1875 TD's per game.

5 TE's and 6 WR's makes it a little tough to get snaps and targets with guys like Gesicki, Waddle, Parker & Wilson ahead of you.

I was just thinking that the biggest aspect of the game may be getting ahead on points to keep the Pat from running the ball. Of course if we can just shut down the run game, that won't be as important.

So # 3 with Raekwon is an important factor. I think people are sleeping on this DL with Seiler up and coming as well as Raekwon and the addition of Butler & John Jenkins. Biggest help in the run game coming from Davis' improvement & addition of Jenkins.

Big improvement from Strowbridge, Benito Jones and Godchaux!
 
Great points. I think we're all going to need some oxygen on standby if Waddle is returning. Yes, he's incredible but he's also sorely needed in the passing game so I hope we use him as sparingly as possible. Grant is 50/50 in the passing game so if someone needs to be doing the returns I would rather it be him than Waddle who has such a solid connection with Tua through TC.
 
All valid points except for maybe #2.

Not sure how much we will miss 12 receptions, 150 yards and 3 TD's (all career highs for Shaheen) for a whole season. That equates to .75 receptions, 9 yards and .1875 TD's per game.

5 TE's and 6 WR's makes it a little tough to get snaps and targets with guys like Gesicki, Waddle, Parker & Wilson ahead of you.

I was just thinking that the biggest aspect of the game may be getting ahead on points to keep the Pat from running the ball. Of course if we can just shut down the run game, that won't be as important.

So # 3 with Raekwon is an important factor. I think people are sleeping on this DL with Seiler up and coming as well as Raekwon and the addition of Butler & John Jenkins. Biggest help in the run game coming from Davis' improvement & addition of Jenkins.

Big improvement from Strowbridge, Benito Jones and Godchaux!
Great points brother. #2 was more on the premise of Shaheen's impact because his ability to block creates the illusion that if he breaks off the block, it draws a safety or LB out of their zone creating a matchup issue on other parts of the field. That's also went I stated it SEEMS that Shaheen is relevant on third downs. Hey, 3 out of 4 I'll take it lol.
 
Great points brother. #2 was more on the premise of Shaheen's impact because his ability to block creates the illusion that if he breaks off the block, it draws a safety or LB out of their zone creating a matchup issue on other parts of the field. That's also went I stated it SEEMS that Shaheen is relevant on third downs. Hey, 3 out of 4 I'll take it lol.

Yeah, I have a feeling he was gonna get more snaps this year and he still might but Hunter Long may eat into those a bit.
 
Yeah, I have a feeling he was gonna get more snaps this year and he still might but Hunter Long may eat into those a bit.
I think you're right. Some rumors were circulating inside camp that Miami might run 3 TE sets with the 3rd TE lining up in the FB spot or Gesicki lined up outside and Waddle right next to him with Long in the slot. Some exotic looks...
 
While I dont disagree with any of your points, I think all of them are way down the list of things to look for when considering the likelihood of the Fins winning this game. In other words, if all of those happen to be factors in the Fins winning/losing this game, I simply believe they're behind where I thought they were...
 
Really the only matchup you have to watch is our oline vs. their front seven. If somehow it can be a stalemate (not happening) or its just a slightly below average performance from the oline we win this game. I have a feeling its going to be a bloodbath honestly. That front seven is pretty damn talented.

Sharp money has poured in on the Pats and pushed the line to 3.5 and the under has been pushed to 43.5 from 45.5. Its gonna be a grinder of a game. Mac Jones isnt gonna be anything but a game manager which is all it may take.

Im not worried about the defensive side of the ball that much or at all. I'm more worried about tua getting out of the game injury free at this point.
 
Byron jones need to do better against aghlor or however you spell his name. He roasted Jones last year.
 
Really the only matchup you have to watch is our oline vs. their front seven. If somehow it can be a stalemate (not happening) or its just a slightly below average performance from the oline we win this game. I have a feeling its going to be a bloodbath honestly. That front seven is pretty damn talented.

Sharp money has poured in on the Pats and pushed the line to 3.5 and the under has been pushed to 43.5 from 45.5. Its gonna be a grinder of a game. Mac Jones isnt gonna be anything but a game manager which is all it may take.

Im not worried about the defensive side of the ball that much or at all. I'm more worried about tua getting out of the game injury free at this point.
Can’t wait to see who s correct us on finheaven or the rest of the world.
 
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