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NFL & Moneyball

Perfect72

It's Only Happened ONCE!
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Ross seems confused on what to do with his team. He likes Philbin, but the circumstances (e.g. Losing the last 2 games with so much on the line & statements that Philbin actually believes that the Dolphins are actually close to a SB with just a few minor tweaks despite the facts, etc.) seem to have him at a loss as to what to do next. (Ross-at-a-Loss Syndrome) Ross appears to not have a backup plan.

Question is, if one is a BILLIONAIRE with BILLIONS of $$$, then why don't you know? Hire the brightest analytical/statistical minds on the planet to "Moneyball" the thing. You could have a team of very bright people serving as an on-going,independent "Cross-Check" of your team analyzing every detail and making independent recommendations to you. It's like business, where you have objective observers (no dog in the fight) giving you an opinion. Not saying they are right or wrong - they may be dead wrong; but at least you have another supposedly educated opinion. I just look at some of the fantastic, detailed posts on this site with photo/video play breakdowns and the insight to make sense of it all (not the brainless Cut them ALL posts). AND these folks do it for FREE - for the love of the game and their team - the Miami Dolphins! Imagine what you would get if you paid them?

Training, eating habits, what are the most effective drills, etc. Zach Thomas used to sleep in an oxygen tent so he would heal faster for goodness sake. To be fair, Philbin did institute changes in the practice week and tempo with 2 sides practicing at once to get more reps, which is positive. BUT the question still lingers about the bottom-line results.

I understand that Jason Taylor, Don Shula & Dan Marino are giving Ross input - and it would be hard to believe they are giving the current coaching staff rave reviews. These in particular are three of the most fiery players/coaches that have ever been in the NFL - and it is doubtful they had a lot of positives about the talent & coaching staff after the last 2 games.

I know many of us would do it for free for our beloved Dolphins; but the question remains...Why not have a bunch of independent analysis of who's up & coming in the college ranks, underrated NFL assistants, Canadian coaching/player prospects, Arena League...whatever. Break down the statistics, find out what the successful teams are doing or not, analyze your personnel andmake the adjustments.

There were SO many times this year that fans felt that the team was "Out-coached" by the opponent - that the Dolphins had the superior talent and should win easily, but "Played Down" to the level of the competition. Didn't make halftime or in-game adjustments very well. To be fair, some times they came through this year (e.g. vs the Falcons & Patriots) - which I believe greatly surprised all but the most die hard of Dolfans.

The Bottom-Line: Ross should always have backup plans. What if this coach or GM becomes available? What if the Coach leaves to coach Alabama (already happened) or flames out early because he wasn't the correct hire (i.e. Cam Cameron) Don't always start from Square 1. HAVE A PLAN Mr. ROSS!
 
The simple answer to your post... This is why Ross hired his council of TD, DM and JT... To try and clear his confusion. I believe any decision he makes was suggested to him by that council.
 
Moneyball doesn't work in baseball,will not work in football.
 
Moneyball doesn't work in baseball,will not work in football.

It does work, but what is your goal? What is your team? What are your resources?

For a small market team with a small budget that must operate as a business and fill the seats, keep it's customers interested and brand alive, it's a great tool.

For a large market team with an unlimited budget that customers will not settle for less than competing for championships, it's absurdly misapplied.

For all other teams in the middle, it can be applied to particular areas of their roster with varying degrees of success as long as it is not the predominate philosophy.

The Houston Rockets used it to build a playoff team when they acquired Linn and Harden and utilized their other pieces as a unit. But to make the next step to a contender, they had to use a different model and pursue Dwight.

At any given time, different plans work for different reasons. Using the same plan repeatedly is insanity.
 
Every team in the league should have at least a consultant in this role in my opinion, if not someone of higher status within the organization.
 
Ok...one...look at your Houston plan...look at the money Linn,Harden and Dwight make...Thats the opposite of Moneyball.
In the NFL,there is a hard cap..so everyone is pretty much on the same level...no need for Moneyball.
Now..lets get to the Oakland A's,where this Moneyball idea pretty much started.What most people don't get,and the movie pretty
much glosses over is ...Oakland had three aces coming up from their minors...Hudson,Mulder and I can't remember the other guys name..
that is rare to have that talent on the cheap...when contract time came for these guys....well,they are not there anymore..You are looking
at about 40-45 million for those guys.Pitching is 80% of baseball. Moneyball works per say...but you can't win titles or pretty anything with it.
In pro sports,the old adage...It takes money to make money"trumps" Moneyball all the time.
Moneyball is a theory that on paper looks good,it just doesn't work in todays pro sports.
 
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