NFL Week 14: Ravens Vs. Dolphins By The Numbers

[DKphin]

In a matchup between two of the six AFC teams that have a 7-5 record, the Ravens will try to bounce back from their 34-33 loss to the San Diego Chargers when they face the Miami Dolphins at Sun Life Stadium Dec. 7.
Injuries have ravaged the Ravens' secondary to the extent that Baltimore's pass defense has allowed 273.9 passing yards per game, a mark that ranks the Ravens 31st in the NFL. While the Ravens have struggled defending against the pass, they have been stingy against the run. Baltimore is allowing 86.3 rushing yards per game, and has given up seven rushing touchdowns this season.
The Ravens will face one of the NFL's toughest defenses during Week 14. Miami is allowing 316.8 total yards per game, sixth in the league. The Dolphins are second in the NFL against the pass, allowing 198.2 passing yards per game.
If the Ravens are going to win, they are going to have to rely on their running game. Led by Justin Forsett, Baltimore ranks fifth in rushing, averaging 131.8 yards per game.
During the last three games, Forsett has run for 399 yards on 66 carries with four touchdowns.

Photo Credit: Sabina Moran/PressBox Fortunately for the Ravens, Miami has had difficulty defending against the run. The Dolphins are 21st in the NFL in rush defense, giving up 118.6 yards per contest.

Outlook: The Ravens have their backs against the wall due to the tight AFC playoff situation. One of the most resilient teams in the league, they should respond. Baltimore is 3-1 after a loss this season and has won 13-of-19 games after a loss since 2011. If the Ravens can control the game with their running attack, they should be able to escape Miami with a win.
Prediction: Ravens 28, Dolphins 24

Read more: http://www.pressboxonline.com/2014/12/03/nfl-week-14-ravens-vs-dolphins-by-the-numbers

 

[mnphinfan]

I think the defensive rushing stats are a bit misleading for the Ravens. Teams have stopped running the ball on them because they can throw it so easily. I think the Ravens will try to do what the Jets did defensively to limit the throwing options Tannehill has available. Meanwhile on defense I think they will try to run the ball much like Denver and NY did although I don't see them using a 6th offensive linemen.

 

[Fins1971]

Yeah Baltimore has the 3rd least rushing attempts against them. Only 23.7 per game. Teams going after their suspect pass defense.

But in their low attempts against they still do a good job against the run by only allowing 3.6 per carry which is 5th best.

The real key is the rushing TD's. Can't allow them.

There D has allowed 7 and ours has allowed 6. This could be where the game is decided.

 

[Fins_of_Fury]

Win the turnover margin, convert 3rd Downs and bend but don't break. That's how i see us beating Baltimore.

 

[Fins1971]

Win the turnover margin, convert 3rd Downs and bend but don't break. That's how i see us beating Baltimore.

We won the turnover battle 2-0 last year and still lost the game. We scored 10 points off turnovers and the offense failed to show up by only scoring on 3 other drives (13 points)
We can't settle for FG's this time.

 

[finfan54]

Clay will be back. We need Finnegan though IMO.

I hope Lazor's gameplan is better than recent history where he is going sideways alot and not running the ball enough.

I think we can run on these guys too. Our offense is different than most.

If we lose it will partly be because Caleb Sturgis sucks.

 

[LANGER72]

Grind on the Baltimore defense using a balanced attack. Long drives keep Flacko off the field.
Scoring TD's in the red zone will be the key to the game.
Preventing Flacco from beating us with his passing arm will be a key as well.
I am not worried about their running game. The defense will respond with a better game at home.

 

[royalshank]

Clay will be back. We need Finnegan though IMO.

I hope Lazor's gameplan is better than recent history where he is going sideways alot and not running the ball enough.

I think we can run on these guys too. Our offense is different than most.

If we lose it will partly be because Caleb Sturgis sucks.

i didn't see the last statement coming. I hope this twerp doesn't lose us a game this year. New kicker for Christmas please Santa.