Here is something that I found interesting.
Greg Camarillo started about 43 game quarters before taking his knee injury at the very beginning of the fourth quarter against the New England Patriots. During that time, he amassed 613 receiving yards.
From that point on, Davone Bess went on to start for 23 of the next 25 game quarters. He spent 2 quarters out of the Baltimore playoff game because he jammed his finger. During those quarters and those quarters alone, Bess racked up 387 receiving yards.
Project Camarillo's 613 yards in 43 quarters to a 64 quarter season, you get 912 yards as a starter.
Project Davone Bess' 387 yards in 23 quarters to a 64 quarter season, you get 1,077 yards as a starter.
Does anyone wonder why I keep gushing about how Davone Bess played in the final third of the season? When he was on the football field as a starter and really got his chance, he made plays as often as an 1,100 yard receiver...and yet he was just a rookie. Plus he blocks like a mad man. Highly underrated. The Dolphins found a real gem, with him.
ok, gotta disagree with you, CK.
First, any projection is specious and subjective. It's just a matter of degree as to how flawed it is.
Secondly, there's no control on your sample. To wit, Bess only got those yards b.c Cammy was hurt -- Cammy got his yards with a healthy Bess.
Thirdly, there's no comparison between a WR who gets his yards on his own skills and a WR who gets his yards on the back of someone else's skills. Example: the difference between a Johnson and a Welker is light years, imo. And yet, if you wanted to do an analysis based on
yards alone [as you have done] than you might convince any weak minded person that Welker is a comparable WR.
Fourthly, related, there's no analysis of how those individual yards were gained: did he do anything to get those yards that essentially any fill in WR could have done?
Fifthly, there's no anaysis here of YPC or any stricter measure of a WR talent.
etc.
As far as pure skilled WR goes, I don't see it w. Bess. I see a Welker wannabe who makes his living in the zones and soft spots in coverage -- I see a WR who ABSOLUTELY struggles if manned up down the field, someone who if he gets man in the red zone you don't lick your chops and say, "Wow, we have a mismatch," but instead, "Oh, he's not gonna get open now."
Imo, it was pitiful watching Bess try to play a "real WR" in the red zone at times, at the end of the year.
He's got stuff he's good at but by no means is he a game changer. He's not a Hines Ward. He's hoping to be a Welker.
Just mo.
LD
