RWhitney014
Ginger Whit
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- Apr 26, 2005
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I'm firmly in the camp that says Uggla's possible regression means nothing for a few reasons.
1) Let's say his average drops 30 points, his HRs are cut in half, and his RBI drop by a third. His basic number line would still be .252-14-60. That would be a comparable season to that in 2006 of Craig Biggio, Jose Castillo, Marcus Giles, and Jose Vidro. And that's a huge, huge drop. I would expect the average to go down some, but the production numbers to be similar. His bat's not slowing down.
2) The Marlins' lineup can make it up. Hanley's numbers were great last year; they should be even better this year. Whoever's in CF has to outproduce Reggie Abercrombie's first half. Hermida did absolutely nothing this year, but he's going to have a much better year. Cabrera's not a 27-HR hitter. Jacobs should be better just by virtue of his ankle's healing. And on and on.
1) Let's say his average drops 30 points, his HRs are cut in half, and his RBI drop by a third. His basic number line would still be .252-14-60. That would be a comparable season to that in 2006 of Craig Biggio, Jose Castillo, Marcus Giles, and Jose Vidro. And that's a huge, huge drop. I would expect the average to go down some, but the production numbers to be similar. His bat's not slowing down.
2) The Marlins' lineup can make it up. Hanley's numbers were great last year; they should be even better this year. Whoever's in CF has to outproduce Reggie Abercrombie's first half. Hermida did absolutely nothing this year, but he's going to have a much better year. Cabrera's not a 27-HR hitter. Jacobs should be better just by virtue of his ankle's healing. And on and on.