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Our Losses to IND & SD Killing Us In Tiebreakers

PhinsPhan122

Ted Hill
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I was just going through the tiebreaker scenarios, specifically the "winning percentage in common games" for if we finish in a tie with Denver, Baltimore, or both. The losses we had to Indianapolis and San Diego earlier in the year are killing us.

For the scenarios, I assumed the following...

Dolphins: Win out to get to 10-6, finish with 8-4 conference record
Broncos: Lose to Colts and Eagles, beat Raiders and Chiefs to finish 10-6, with 8-4 conference record
Ravens: Win out to get to 10-6, finish with 8-4 conference record

Without going too far in depth, we are on the losing side of most tiebreakers, mainly because we all share San Diego and Indianapolis as an opponent, and we lost those games. We need to hope Baltimore loses, and their games are not that tough, or perhaps Denver drops one to the Raiders or Chiefs.

Our best bet might actually be in Jacksonville. If we can beat them, but they can regroup and beat New England, that'd probably give us our best shot at making the playoffs (as division winner).
 
Regardless of winning out...Pats need to lose one game that's not Carolina or Baltimore has to drop one...It's that simple. First things first though we MUST win out.
 
Regardless of winning out...Pats need to lose one game that's not Carolina or Baltimore has to drop one...It's that simple. First things first though we MUST win out.
Actually just realized something else. If it ends up being a three-way tie between the Patriots, Jets, and Dolphins, then Miami wins out, regardless of if it's 10-6, 9-7 or whatever. The first tiebreaker then is "winning percentage in games amongst the teams." We'd be 3-1, Patriots 2-2, Jets 1-3.
 
We won't have to win out to win the division if the Pats lose to 2 AFC teams.
 
We won't have to win out to win the division if the Pats lose to 2 AFC teams.

Don't forget the Jets - they could win the division if they won out, we dropped one, and the Pats dropped two. It's not entirely out of the question - they're kinda flying under the radar. Then again, they have three very tough games after Tampa this week.
 
Don't forget the Jets - they could win the division if they won out, we dropped one, and the Pats dropped two. It's not entirely out of the question - they're kinda flying under the radar. Then again, they have three very tough games after Tampa this week.

jets are D-O-N-E done done done. i'll be really surprised if they win another game this year.
 
yes i am. tampa played tough against us plus they are at home.
Okay. Not gonna lie, I almost picked TB in my NFL pick'em. They could win, but I think the Jets will remain in the hunt for now. Since Dirty Sanchez is out, they will probably be smart and run the ball 50+ times.
 
yeah against carolina and buffalo. wooooooooooooooooooooo

Yep, that same buffalo that owned us. I'm just saying, don't sleep on the jets or you might be setting yourself up for a big disappointment by season's end if you think they can't make it to the playoffs instead of us. Still, we swept them and we got bragging rights till next year but yeah, they can easily get into the playoffs too if they continue to play like they have been the last couple of games.
 
Yep, that same buffalo that owned us. I'm just saying, don't sleep on the jets or you might be setting yourself up for a big disappointment by season's end if you think they can't make it to the playoffs instead of us. Still, we swept them and we got bragging rights till next year but yeah, they can easily get into the playoffs too if they continue to play like they have been the last couple of games.

dont worry no disappointment coming my way from the jets, maybe you might when they get whipped the next 4 weeks. i guess you dont realize they got colts and bengals to deal with. dont give me no crap about teams laying down because that aint happening this year.
 
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