Patriots 7.5 Point Favorites???? | Page 5 | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Patriots 7.5 Point Favorites????

We are 3-0 because all 3 phases of the team are functioning well and playing off each other.

We have scored 27 points off of the 8 turnovers while only giving up 3 points off 4 turnovers.
When the defense provides good field position the offense cashes it in with points.
When the offense makes a mistake the defense limits the damage.

Special teams has a Kick off return for TD and an punt return that setup another TD for offense.
The offense did its job by converting the great field position. 2 TD advantage from special teams.

2 goal line stands in different games that snuffed out scoring threats from other team. One directly led to TD the other eventually led to TD.

When your team is playing like this in all 3 areas they will be hard to beat.
 
DefensiveEnd76 said:
You'll thank me when we lose next Sunday. I'm just trying to soften the blow and help you accept the loss better.
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I'm pretty sure I speak for the vast majority of the board when I say that we neither need nor want your help with that.
 
Awsi Dooger said:
The Dolphins have plenty of unsustainable stats going on. That's why I have not fully joined in on the hoopla, although obviously 3-0 is great.

There are bounce indications all over the place, if not necessarily this week but certainly over time. We have scored more points than our offensive production suggests, and in particular we have allowed far fewer points than our defensive numbers suggest.

It equates to a Yards Per Point Differential that is second in the league and by far the greatest change of any team from 2017 to 2018. We were -3.9 last season to +8.8 this season. That net shift of +12.7 is surreal and almost never seen, even after only 3 games. The Browns have something like a +9 shift right now from terrible to mostly even while Arizona likewise has a 9 point move from -3 in 2017 to a horrendous -12 so far this year.

Dolphins at 8.8 are second behind the Rams, who currently have 11.7 or some obscene number. I have followed this stat since 1984. It was a pet stat of Las Vegas handicapper Mike Lee, who put out a weekly tout sheet called Mike Lee's Moneymaker and thoughtfully included the yards per point offensively and defensively of every NFL and major college team. He didn't have the differential but it was simple to compile by simply looking at the two numbers. Differential categories weren't well known in that era but slowly gained popularity. I started mentioning differential numbers on Las Vegas radio in October 1988.

Every season the league leader in this YPP Differential category is somewhere around +5, to +6.5 on the high end if some team has a freakish season, like Seattle several years ago.

So you can see the Miami +8.8 is in a rare stratosphere and will not survive

https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/yards-per-point-margin
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I'd agree with that. I'd also be curious as to what that stat was before tannehill got injured in 2016, maybe there isn't as big a difference when Tannehill is the QB as when cutler/moore were the QBs at the end of 2016 and 2017.

@Awsi Dooger
ah. here we go. miami was sitting at 6.3 for a 3 game stretch in 2016.

https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/yards-per-point-margin?date=2016-12-04

1 2016-09-11 = 7.9 L
2 2016-09-18 = -4.1 L
3 2016-09-25 = 3.7 W
4 2016-09-29 = -15.3 L
5 2016-10-09 = 1.5 L
6 2016-10-16 = 4.0 w
7 2016-10-23 = -5.5 w
8 2016-11-06 = 5.2 w
9 2016-11-13 = 4.9 w
10 2016-11-20 = 5.6 w
11 2016-11-27 = 8.2 w
12 2016-12-04 = -33.1 L
13 2016-12-11 = 1.0 W


14 2016-12-17 = 18.8 w
15 2016-12-24 = 4.5 w
16 2017-1-1 = -8.7 L
P 2017-1-8 = -13.2 L
 
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