Prediction On Pass Distribution (receptions)?

[LoneStarPhin]

These two posts were in another thread and I thought it would be interesting to hear what others thought our pass distribution might look like.

keep in mind this is actual catches- not targets:

(in a game of say 25/35, the actual catch number is in parentheses)

Amendola 20% (5)
Wilson 18% (5)
Stills 15%. (4)
Gesicki 14%. (4)
Drake 12%. (3)
Grant 10% (2)
Parker 5%. (1)
Other 6%. (1)

claytonduper:

I would love that distribution, but I don't think it will be that even.

Amendola 25% (I think he will be the go to guy unless he gets hurt)
Wilson 15%
Stills 15%
Gesicki 8% (I hope it much more)
Drake 15%
Grant 5%
Parker 8% (He and Tannehill do have a little connection)
Other 11% (Gore, Ballage, Symthe, Escovar, Ford)

 

[maralieus]

I mostly agree with those numbers. I’d say drake will have more catches than gesicki though.

 

[NBP81]

Top 3 in that order... Wilson, Stills, Amendola

 

[Butterfrog 2.0]

I know he's disliked by a good majority of the fans here, but Unless he's injured a good majority of the season theres no way Parker is 5th or worse in targets.

 

[DolfanISS]

I hope we distribute it better than they did last night. I felt like if you weren't Jones (well duh), Hooper, Agholor (spelling but I don't feel like looking it up) or Ertz you had no chance to be involved. Very odd distribution last night. I know Julio is great but you'd figure Atlanta could design a red zone play or 2 to go elsewhere.

 

[LoneStarPhin]

I know he's disliked by a good majority of the fans here, but Unless he's injured a good majority of the season theres no way Parker is 5th or worse in targets.

it's receptions- not targets. And you've got to be on the field to get 'em. so tell me, which of Amendola, Wilson, Stills, and Drake (and Gesicki) is Parker going to finish ahead of?

(and yes, I'm including the possibility he wont be available that much- cause that's a PROBABILITY)

 

[Phinatic8u]

it's receptions- not targets. And you hotta be on the field to get 'em. so tell me, which of Amendola, Wilson, Stills, and Drake (and Gesicki) is Parker going to finish ahead of?

Drake and more than likely Wilson. Gesicki is a rookie TE, don’t expect him to produce much.

Parker will be in the top 3 if catches for this team this year, like he has since he was drafted.

 

[Butterfrog 2.0]

it's receptions- not targets. And you've got to be on the field to get 'em. so tell me, which of Amendola, Wilson, Stills, and Drake (and Gesicki) is Parker going to finish ahead of?

(and yes, I'm including the possibility he wont be available that much- cause that's a PROBABILITY)

Like I said if hes oft injured then ok... it makes sense.

 

[Eesti]

I think Stills will be the reception leader. He will probably never leave the field. Amendola only plays the slot and will be off the field when they go to 12 personnel which hopefully won't be hindered by the loss of Gray. Parker will miss games from injury and those will go to a mix of Grant & Wilson.

 

[LoneStarPhin]

even if he plays a good amount, i dont see his raw # of catches being that high.

This is going to be a short-pass O similar to NE, and the % of short passes completed (easier pass/catch) will be much higher than the ones we throw to Parker and Stills.

I look for Drake, Amendola, Wilson to catch the great majority.

 

[zach attach]

Stills is the deep guy, his receptions will be dependent on whether Gase goes dink and dunk or downfield often. We really won't know until 1pm Sunday.

 

[Eesti]

Looks like the offense will run through Stills in the passing game. Gase said today they plan on getting him more involved on intermediate throws. Are going to move him around, slot, etc.

Receptions/Targets/yards per catch

Grant 5/7/7.6
Amendola 4/6/6.5
Stills 4/5/26.5
Wilson 3/4/10.3
Drake 3/4/6.0
Gesicki 1/2/11

 

[Jests_Hater]

Anyone else hate the fade route as much as I do?

 

[Eesti]

Nah. We will nail more than a few of those this year. It was wet conditions and the ball slipped.

 

[cash]

I'm pissed Ryan didn't hit Wilson for that touchdown. Wilson had his guy Tannehill needs to be on time right there. Wilson has serious chance to be our most productive weapon.