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Ross's Power Rankings

Ross

Ross

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Hey fella’s I did this last year and some asked that I do it again this year. My power ratings are based on a pure point system. Check out the link if you want to know what a pure point system is. Link For those who want the short version, basically the score margin is the only thing that matters. Not wins or loses. Opinion is not injected into the formula. No adjustments are made during the season or off season for players lost or gained. Or coaches for that matter. This how they finished last year.

1 Indianapolis 31.4
2 New England 28.6
3 San Diego 28.2
4 Pittsburgh 26.8
5 Philadelphia 26.4
6 Buffalo 26.2
7 Green Bay 23.8
8 Kansas City 23.0
9 Carolina 22.8
10 Atlanta 22.2
11 Denver 21.6
12 N.Y. Jets 21.4
13 Jacksonville 21.4
14 Baltimore 20.2
15 Houston 20.2
16 Cincinnati 19.0
17 New Orleans 18.8
18 Washington 17.8
19 Minnesota 17.6
20 Tampa Bay 17.6
21 N.Y. Giants 17.2
22 Seattle 17.0
23 Miami 16.8
24 Arizona 16.2
25 St. Louis 15.6
26 Detroit 15.6
27 Dallas 15.4
28 Oakland 14.4
29 Tennessee 13.4
30 Cleveland 13.0
31 Chicago 10.8
32 San Francisco 6.6

And this is how they rank after week one.

1 Indianapolis 32.4
2 Pittsburgh 28.0
3 New England 28.0
4 Buffalo 27.4
5 Kansas City 26.2
6 Philadelphia 25.2
7 San Diego 24.4
8 Atlanta 23.8
9 Jacksonville 23.0
10 Cincinnati 22.8
11 New Orleans 21.4
12 Miami 21.2
13 N.Y. Giants 21.2
14 Tampa Bay 20.6
15 Carolina 20.6
16 Green Bay 19.8
17 Detroit 19.6
18 Dallas 19.4
19 Houston 18.8
20 Baltimore 18.2
21 N.Y. Jets 18.0
22 Denver 17.6
23 Oakland 16.2
24 Washington 16.4
25 Seattle 15.8
26 Minnesota 14.6
27 Chicago 12.6
28 St. Louis 12.2
29 Arizona 12.2
30 Tennessee 11.0
31 Cleveland 10.6
32 San Francisco 10.0

--Ross
 
Just wondering how you had Miami at 23 last year eventhough they finished second last. I think Miami should be at low 20s after week 1.
 
its based on scores and all the games we lost last year were close...
 
dolphan98 said:
Just wondering how you had Miami at 23 last year eventhough they finished second last. I think Miami should be at low 20s after week 1.
Click to expand...

Click on the link. Opinion doesn't matter. It's strictly math.
 
I don't understand how SF is last??

If scoring margin is all that matters.....they are a +3 for the season. #28 St Louis, who lost to SF, is a -3......#22 Denver is a -24.

If it is JUST math, how does a -24, -3, or any of the other 14 teams who have negative point differetials so far this year, wind up ahead of them??

Please explain a little more. Thanks.
 
Let's see...

Week 1: Dallas 28 San Diego 24

So San Diego is # 7 and Dallas is # 18 afer one week.

Nice system there. (yawn)
 
Geez, no need for the venom. He was just posting a formula that has been pretty successful at predicting games. Schedule ranking is also a factor. As is location. Again, opinion has nothing to do with either. In case you couldn't see the link in his post to the site that explains it in great detail (maybe too much for some), here it is again: CLICK ON THIS FOR DETAILED EXPLANATION

Don't agree with it? Thats fine, stick to the best guess technique. Or Innie Minnie Miney Moe, like I do.
 
I think after week 1 these things don't really matter, no one can tell how anyone is going to finish. That said, its out of line to have teams that lost ranked higher than a team they lost to. No way should Denver be above us in any ranking, I agree that Dallas has to be ranked above San Diego, although a close game, they beat them, they are better. You dont rank teams on how you think they are going to finish once the season starts, losses to a team means you are not as good obviously.
 
burger13 said:
I don't understand how SF is last??

If scoring margin is all that matters.....they are a +3 for the season. #28 St Louis, who lost to SF, is a -3......#22 Denver is a -24.

If it is JUST math, how does a -24, -3, or any of the other 14 teams who have negative point differetials so far this year, wind up ahead of them??

Please explain a little more. Thanks.
Click to expand...

Well first off you don't adjust a teams ratings by the same amount of the score differential. A team can only move up or down but so much. But the differential combined with how much a team is 'suppose' to win by is what decides how much you adjust it. Plus you have to look at how they finished last year. In SF case, their Power rating jumped up almost 4 points, but because they were so far behind everyone else to begin with they are still in last, even if it is just a bit behind the Browns.

Take a look at SF vs Philly for this week. If you add around 3 points to Philly's Power rating for home field advantage they should beat SF by about 18 points. If SF play Philly close this week, win or lose, they will jump up that much more because they stay well below the 18 point differential.

Vegas uses their own system for setting up the odds. No doubt they have a pure point system involved in it...

--Ross
 
Update: After week 2

1 Indianapolis 31.2
2 Pittsburgh 29.6
3 Philadelphia 28.0
4 Kansas City 26.8
5 Cincinnati 26.8
6 Tampa Bay 25.0
7 New England 24.8
8 Jacksonville 24.2
9 N.Y. Giants 24.2
10 Carolina 24.2
11 Buffalo 23.4
12 San Diego 22.8
13 N.Y. Jets 22.4
14 Atlanta 22.0
15 Denver 19.6
16 Miami 19.2
17 New Orleans 18.4
18 Seattle 18.0
19 Washington 18.0
20 Dallas 17.8
21 Chicago 17.0
22 Green Bay 16.8
23 Oakland 16.2
24 Houston 15.8
25 Baltimore 15.8
26 Detroit 15.6
27 St. Louis 14.0
28 Tennessee 13.8
29 Cleveland 13.6
30 Minnesota 10.8
31 Arizona 10.4
32 San Francisco 6.0
 
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